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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Zurich
T U T S S
2–0
Full-time
Luzern
T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Super League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
40%
0%
Points per game
1,4
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
80%
100%
Both score Ø 80%
60%
100%
Average goals
3,4
3,8
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Zurich 6. · Luzern 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 5 3 2 0 +3 11
2 St. Gallen 6 3 1 2 +0 10
3 Lugano 5 2 3 0 +2 9
4 Lausanne 4 2 2 0 +5 8
5 Basel 5 2 1 2 +1 7
6 Zurich 5 2 1 2 -1 7
7 Servette 4 1 1 2 -1 4
8 Sion 4 0 3 1 -1 3
9 Luzern 5 0 2 3 -3 2
10 Vaduz 5 0 2 3 -5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zurich Luzern
Blaž Kramer ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
20′
22′
🟥 Lucas Alves
1–0 B. Kololli ⚽
23′
29′
🔁 S. Sidler
↦ V. Tasar
34′
🟨 Louis Schaub
35′
🟨 Dejan Sorgic
Tosin Aiyegun 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
Nathan 🟨
47′
2–0 A. Marchesano ⚽
48′
Ousmane Doumbia 🟨
54′
H. Kryeziu 🔁
↦ O. Doumbia
60′
M. Schönbächler 🔁
↦ A. Marchesano
60′
Tosin Aiyegun 🟨
61′
Tosin Aiyegun 🟥
61′
68′
🔁 L. Emini
↦ I. Ndiaye
68′
🔁 M. Bürki
↦ Álex Carbonell
77′
🟨 Marco Bürki
81′
🔁 Y. Alounga
↦ T. Ndenge
A. Winter 🔁
↦ B. Kololli
84′
Yanick Brecher 🟨
89′
90′
🟨 Yvan Alounga
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Zurich

4-2-3-1
25 Y. Brecher G
6 F. Aliti D
3 Nathan D
4 B. Omeragić D
42 S. Wallner D
10 A. Marchesano M
70 B. Kololli M
20 O. Doumbia M
14 T. Domgjoni M
18 B. Kramer F
15 A. Tosin M
Bench (7)
71 H. Kryeziu
27 M. Schönbächler
7 A. Winter
1 Ž. Kostadinović
19 T. Schättin
22 W. Gnonto
43 H. Koide

Coach: M. Rizzo

Luzern

4-2-3-1
32 M. Müller G
5 Lucas D
15 M. Schulz D
4 S. Knežević D
10 L. Schaub M
13 M. Frýdek D
14 Álex Carbonell M
8 T. Ndenge M
29 V. Tasar M
7 I. Ndiaye M
9 D. Sorgić F
Bench (7)
34 S. Sidler
31 L. Emini
6 M. Bürki
22 Y. Alounga
1 D. Zibung
30 A. Jasari
23 S. Borkai

Coach: F. Celestini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

L Fähndrich · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.