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Super League

Referee: M Turkes

Lugano

U T S S S

2–0

Full-time

Yverdon

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Yverdon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 41%

48%

33%

Points per game

1,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

70%

Both score Ø 65%

59%

70%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,79 xG 0,07

62% Possession 38%

15 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 8

12 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 3. · Yverdon 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	27	16	6	5	+31	+2.7	54
2	Servette	27	15	8	4	+18	+23.2	53
3	Lugano	27	13	4	10	+8	+6.1	43
4	Zurich	27	11	9	7	+10	+2.1	42
5	St. Gallen	28	12	5	11	+4	+12.6	41
6	Winterthur	28	11	8	9	-2	-6.3	41
7	Luzern	27	11	4	12	-4	+3.0	37
8	Yverdon	27	9	6	12	-18	-14.8	33
9	Basel	28	9	5	14	-11	-3.1	32
10	Grasshoppers	28	8	6	14	-3	-8.1	30
11	Lausanne	27	7	8	12	-7	-2.6	29
12	Lausanne Ouchy	27	4	7	16	-26	-14.6	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	14	11	2	1	+28	+5.4	35
2	Servette	14	9	4	1	+15	+15.4	31
3	St. Gallen	14	10	1	3	+12	+7.0	31
4	Winterthur	14	8	3	3	+4	+1.4	27
5	Yverdon	14	8	3	3	+2	-5.2	27
6	Zurich	13	7	5	1	+9	+1.3	26
7	Luzern	13	8	1	4	+5	+3.5	25
8	Grasshoppers	14	6	3	5	+7	-2.0	21
9	Lugano	13	6	3	4	+4	+4.9	21
10	Lausanne	13	5	4	4	+4	+2.3	19
11	Basel	14	5	3	6	+0	-1.2	18
12	Lausanne Ouchy	14	2	6	6	-14	-5.3	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	14	7	1	6	+4	+1.2	22
2	Servette	13	6	4	3	+3	+7.8	22
3	Young Boys	13	5	4	4	+3	-2.7	19
4	Zurich	14	4	4	6	+1	+0.7	16
5	Winterthur	14	3	5	6	-6	-7.7	14
6	Basel	14	4	2	8	-11	-1.9	14
7	Luzern	14	3	3	8	-9	-0.5	12
8	St. Gallen	14	2	4	8	-8	+5.6	10
9	Lausanne	14	2	4	8	-11	-5.0	10
10	Grasshoppers	14	2	3	9	-10	-6.1	9
11	Lausanne Ouchy	13	2	1	10	-12	-9.4	7
12	Yverdon	13	1	3	9	-20	-9.6	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.