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Serie B
Referee: D Minelli
Ternana
S U S T T
1–0
Full-time
Cosenza
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ternana Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 26%
24%
28%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
52%
38%
Both score Ø 55%
62%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
17 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 7
8 Blocked shots 1
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ternana 17. · Cosenza 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 29 18 8 3 +26 62
2 Venezia 30 17 6 7 +21 57
3 Cremonese 29 16 8 5 +19 56
4 Como 29 15 7 7 +8 52
5 Palermo 30 14 7 9 +11 49
6 Catanzaro 29 14 6 9 +8 48
7 Sampdoria 29 11 6 12 -4 39
8 Brescia 29 9 11 9 +2 38
9 Pisa 29 9 10 10 +0 37
10 Cittadella 29 10 7 12 -5 37
11 Reggiana 29 7 15 7 -2 36
12 Modena 29 8 12 9 -5 36
13 Sudtirol 29 9 8 12 -3 35
14 Cosenza 29 8 10 11 -1 34
15 Bari 29 7 13 9 -7 34
16 Spezia 29 6 12 11 -14 30
17 Ternana 29 7 8 14 -6 29
18 Ascoli 29 6 10 13 -7 28
19 FeralpiSalo 29 7 6 16 -14 27
20 Lecco 29 5 6 18 -27 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ternana Cosenza
25′
🟨 Michael Venturi
Lorenzo Lucchesi 🟨
28′
Half-time 0–0
Gastón Pereiro 🟨
55′
57′
🔁 F. Forte
↦ M. Antonucci
61′
🟨 Francesco Forte
A. Favilli 🔁
↦ A. Raimondo
61′
66′
🔁 G. Calò
↦ I. Voca
66′
🔁 L. Canotto
↦ A. Florenzi
1–0 G. Pereiro
L. Amatucci
69′
F. Distefano 🔁
↦ A. Favilli
74′
80′
🔁 V. Crespi
↦ M. Marras
81′
🔁 T. D'Orazio
↦ G. Frabotta
Lorenzo Amatucci 🟨
86′
F. Dionisi 🔁
↦ G. Pereiro
88′
K. de Boer 🔁
↦ L. Amatucci
88′
Franco Carboni 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ternana

3-1-4-2
1 A. Iannarilli G
32 F. Sgarbi D
19 M. Capuano D
44 L. Lucchesi D
72 L. Amatucci M
15 T. Casasola M
71 G. Luperini M
66 N. Pyyhtiä M
79 F. Carboni M
10 G. Pereiro F
9 A. Raimondo F
Bench (12)
17 A. Favilli
28 F. Distefano
65 F. Dionisi
8 K. de Boer
5 G. Boloca
27 C. Favasuli
6 C. Dalle Mura
22 D. Franchi
16 G. Faticanti
11 J. Żuberek
4 F. Sørensen
25 J. Łabojko

Coach: R. Breda

Cosenza

4-2-3-1
1 A. Micai G
18 B. Gyamfi D
5 M. Camporese D
23 M. Venturi D
99 G. Frabotta D
26 M. Praszelik M
42 I. Voca M
7 M. Marras M
16 M. Antonucci M
34 A. Florenzi M
30 S. Mazzocchi F
Bench (12)
10 F. Forte
14 G. Calò
31 L. Canotto
19 V. Crespi
11 T. D'Orazio
17 B. Cimino
6 A. Fontanarosa
12 A. Lai
24 M. Viviani
36 J. Novello
13 A. Meroni
77 L. Marson

Coach: W. Viali

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,40
U
3,12
B
3,04
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,11
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Minelli · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.