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Serie B
Referee: M Ferrieri Caputi
Como
T U S S T
3–1
Full-time
Pisa
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Como Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 42%
52%
31%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
55%
45%
Both score Ø 55%
48%
62%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%
10 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Como 4. · Pisa 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 29 18 8 3 +26 62
2 Venezia 30 17 6 7 +21 57
3 Cremonese 29 16 8 5 +19 56
4 Como 29 15 7 7 +8 52
5 Palermo 30 14 7 9 +11 49
6 Catanzaro 29 14 6 9 +8 48
7 Sampdoria 29 11 6 12 -4 39
8 Brescia 29 9 11 9 +2 38
9 Pisa 29 9 10 10 +0 37
10 Cittadella 29 10 7 12 -5 37
11 Reggiana 29 7 15 7 -2 36
12 Modena 29 8 12 9 -5 36
13 Sudtirol 29 9 8 12 -3 35
14 Cosenza 29 8 10 11 -1 34
15 Bari 29 7 13 9 -7 34
16 Spezia 29 6 12 11 -14 30
17 Ternana 29 7 8 14 -6 29
18 Ascoli 29 6 10 13 -7 28
19 FeralpiSalo 29 7 6 16 -14 27
20 Lecco 29 5 6 18 -27 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Como Pisa
1–0 A. Gabrielloni
S. Verdi
2′
Nicholas Gioacchini ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
6′
2–0 A. Bellemo
10′
33′
🟨 Miguel Veloso
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Tomás Esteves
↦ I. Touré
46′
🔁 M. D'Alessandro
↦ Miguel Veloso
48′
🟨 Idrissa Touré
49′
T. Barbieri 2–1
S. Moreo
50′
ℹ️ Tommaso Barbieri
VAR: Goal confirmed
P. Cutrone 🔁
↦ A. Gabrielloni
56′
M. Chajia 🔁
↦ N. Gioacchini
57′
T. Fumagalli 🔁
↦ S. Verdi
57′
63′
🔁 N. Bonfanti
↦ J. Mlakar
70′
🔁 L. Tramoni
↦ A. Arena
Tommaso Fumagalli 🟨
72′
Cas Odenthal 🟨
77′
3–1 P. Cutrone
T. Fumagalli
79′
80′
🔁 G. Masucci
↦ T. Barbieri
F. Rispoli 🔁
↦ L. da Cunha
85′
Adrian Šemper 🟨
86′
Moutir Chajia 🟨
87′
M. Sala 🔁
↦ N. Ioannou
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Como

4-2-3-1
1 A. Šemper G
6 A. Iovine D
2 E. Goldaniga D
26 C. Odenthal D
44 N. Ioannou D
27 M. Braunöder M
14 A. Bellemo M
33 L. da Cunha M
90 S. Verdi M
23 N. Gioacchini M
9 A. Gabrielloni F
Bench (12)
10 P. Cutrone
7 M. Chajia
99 T. Fumagalli
32 F. Rispoli
3 M. Sala
77 J. Nsame
4 M. Solini
84 T. Cassandro
70 S. Ballet
5 M. Curto
93 F. Barba
31 M. Piombino

Coach: O. Roberts

Pisa

4-2-3-1
22 L. Loria G
42 T. Barbieri D
5 S. Canestrelli D
4 A. Caracciolo D
20 P. Beruatto D
8 M. Marin M
44 Miguel Veloso M
28 A. Arena M
15 I. Touré M
17 J. Mlakar M
32 S. Moreo F
Bench (12)
19 Tomás Esteves
77 M. D'Alessandro
9 N. Bonfanti
7 L. Tramoni
26 G. Masucci
36 G. Piccinini
16 M. Sala
30 A. De Vitis
33 A. Calabresi
1 Nícolas
3 M. Leverbe
6 H. Hermannsson

Coach: A. Aquilani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,09
U
3,18
B
3,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,24
U2,5
1,63
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Ferrieri Caputi · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.