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LaLiga2
Referee: Rafael Sánchez
Burgos
S T S S S
1–1
Full-time
Levante
U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 40%
47%
33%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
47%
40%
Both score Ø 45%
37%
53%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
18 Shots 11
11 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 9
7 Corners 8
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 6. · Levante 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 30 15 8 7 +21 53
2 Elche 30 14 8 8 +7 50
3 Espanol 30 13 10 7 +13 49
4 Eibar 30 14 7 9 +12 49
5 Valladolid 30 14 6 10 +7 48
6 Burgos 30 14 6 10 +2 48
7 Oviedo 30 12 11 7 +13 47
8 Sp Gijon 30 12 10 8 +8 46
9 Santander 30 13 7 10 +5 46
10 Ferrol 30 11 11 8 +0 44
11 Levante 30 10 13 7 +1 43
12 Eldense 31 10 12 9 -1 42
13 Tenerife 30 11 7 12 -2 40
14 Zaragoza 30 9 10 11 +0 37
15 Huesca 30 8 12 10 +3 36
16 Mirandes 30 9 9 12 -3 36
17 Cartagena 31 9 8 14 -12 35
18 Albacete 30 7 10 13 -9 31
19 Villarreal B 30 7 9 14 -16 30
20 Alcorcon 30 7 9 14 -19 30
21 Andorra 30 7 8 15 -14 29
22 Amorebieta 30 5 9 16 -16 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Levante
1–0 Álex Sancris
23′
Half-time 1–0
Anderson Arroyo 🟨
50′
Fernando Niño 🟨
57′
Álex Bermejo 🔁
↦ Dani Ojeda
61′
Edu Espiau 🔁
↦ Fer Niño
61′
Kevin Appin 🟨
64′
65′
🟨 Fabrício Santos
Grego Sierra 🔁
↦ K. Appin
66′
72′
Brugui 1–1
Adrián de la Fuente
Ander Martín 🔁
↦ Álex Sancris
75′
Joni Montiel 🔁
↦ Aitor Córdoba
75′
81′
🔁 Andrés García
↦ Xavi Grande
81′
🔁 Sergio Lozano
↦ Pablo Martínez
81′
🔁 M. Bouldini
↦ Fabrício
87′
🔁 Cantero
↦ Brugui
Miguel Atienza 🟨
91′
91′
🟨 Álex Muñoz
92′
🟨 Nikola Maraš
93′
🔁 Rober Ibáñez
↦ Iván Romero
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Burgos

4-4-2
13 José Antonio Caro G
4 A. Arroyo D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
14 Unai Elgezabal D
23 José Matos D
11 Álex Sancris M
5 Miguel Atienza M
12 K. Appin M
7 Dani Ojeda M
9 Fer Niño F
16 Curro Sánchez F
Bench (8)
10 Álex Bermejo
19 Edu Espiau
20 Grego Sierra
8 Ander Martín
21 Joni Montiel
2 Borja González
22 Miki Muñoz
1 L. Badiashile

Coach: Bolo

Levante

3-4-2-1
13 Andrés Fernández G
4 Adrián de la Fuente D
14 N. Maraš D
3 Álex Muñoz D
31 Xavi Grande M
10 Pablo Martínez M
6 G. Kochorashvili M
7 Brugui M
37 Carlos Álvarez F
18 Iván Romero F
12 Fabrício F
Bench (12)
30 Andrés García
21 Sergio Lozano
22 M. Bouldini
11 Cantero
19 Rober Ibáñez
43 Jorge Cabello
20 Oriol Rey
17 Óscar Clemente
2 Capa
1 Joan Femenías
5 Álex Valle
9 Dani Gómez

Coach: Felipe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U ✓
3,06
B
3,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rafael Sánchez · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.