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Allsvenskan

Referee: A Ladebäck

Goteborg

T S U T U

0–0

Full-time

Varnamo

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goteborg Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

41%

53%

Both score Ø 47%

47%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,16 xG 0,87

59% Possession 41%

16 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Goteborg 13. · Varnamo 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	18	13	2	3	+29	+18.8	41
2	Djurgarden	17	11	2	4	+16	+1.3	35
3	Hammarby	17	10	1	6	+13	+0.8	31
4	Mjallby	17	9	2	6	+4	-0.6	29
5	GAIS	17	9	1	7	-1	-3.6	28
6	Hacken	17	8	3	6	+5	-3.3	27
7	Elfsborg	17	8	1	8	+7	+4.3	25
8	Sirius	17	7	3	7	+2	+0.9	24
9	Brommapojkarna	17	6	6	5	-2	+3.5	24
10	AIK	17	7	2	8	-6	+1.9	23
11	Norrkoping	18	7	2	9	-15	-3.0	23
12	Halmstad	18	7	0	11	-11	-6.4	21
13	Goteborg	17	5	4	8	-8	-4.5	19
14	Varnamo	17	5	3	9	-6	-5.7	18
15	Kalmar	17	5	1	11	-15	-7.1	16
16	Vasteras SK	18	3	3	12	-12	+2.9	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	8	7	0	1	+18	+7.4	21
2	Mjallby	9	6	2	1	+8	+0.7	20
3	Elfsborg	9	6	1	2	+14	+4.0	19
4	GAIS	9	6	1	2	+5	+0.5	19
5	Hammarby	8	6	0	2	+11	+0.2	18
6	Djurgarden	9	5	2	2	+4	-1.8	17
7	Hacken	9	5	1	3	+7	-1.7	16
8	AIK	8	5	0	3	+8	+2.6	15
9	Halmstad	9	5	0	4	+4	-1.1	15
10	Norrkoping	9	5	0	4	-4	-1.5	15
11	Sirius	8	3	2	3	+4	+1.7	11
12	Brommapojkarna	8	2	3	3	-6	+0.9	9
13	Goteborg	8	2	2	4	-6	-4.7	8
14	Vasteras SK	9	2	1	6	-6	+1.3	7
15	Kalmar	9	2	1	6	-7	-2.1	7
16	Varnamo	9	1	2	6	-10	-2.7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	10	6	2	2	+11	+11.4	20
2	Djurgarden	8	6	0	2	+12	+3.1	18
3	Brommapojkarna	9	4	3	2	+4	+2.5	15
4	Varnamo	8	4	1	3	+4	-3.0	13
5	Hammarby	9	4	1	4	+2	+0.6	13
6	Sirius	9	4	1	4	-2	-0.8	13
7	Hacken	8	3	2	3	-2	-1.6	11
8	Goteborg	9	3	2	4	-2	+0.2	11
9	Mjallby	8	3	0	5	-4	-1.3	9
10	GAIS	8	3	0	5	-6	-4.0	9
11	Kalmar	8	3	0	5	-8	-5.0	9
12	Norrkoping	9	2	2	5	-11	-1.6	8
13	AIK	9	2	2	5	-14	-0.7	8
14	Elfsborg	8	2	0	6	-7	+0.2	6
15	Halmstad	9	2	0	7	-15	-5.3	6
16	Vasteras SK	9	1	2	6	-6	+1.6	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.