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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Kos

Pogon Szczecin

U S S U T

1–0

Full-time

Stal Mielec

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Stal Mielec

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,7

0,3

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,64 xG 0,88

66% Possession 34%

16 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 9. · Stal Mielec 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	3	3	0	0	+5	-1.0	9
2	Lech Poznan	4	2	1	1	+3	+2.0	7
3	Widzew Lodz	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.0	7
4	Piast Gliwice	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.3	7
5	Rakow	4	2	1	1	+2	+3.1	7
6	Cracovia	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.5	7
7	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.4	7
8	Legia	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.8	6
9	Pogon Szczecin	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.1	4
10	Motor Lublin	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.5	4
11	Zaglebie	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.7	4
12	Radomiak Radom	3	1	0	2	-1	+3.5	3
13	GKS Katowice	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.4	3
14	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.3	1
15	Puszcza	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.7	1
16	Stal Mielec	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.4	1
17	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.4	1
18	Korona Kielce	4	0	1	3	-6	-4.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.6	6
2	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.9	6
3	Zaglebie	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
4	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
5	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
6	Legia	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.8	3
7	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.0	3
8	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.1	3
9	Puszcza	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
10	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
11	Stal Mielec	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
12	Rakow	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.9	1
13	Cracovia	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.1	1
14	Motor Lublin	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.4	1
15	Radomiak Radom	2	0	0	2	-2	+2.4	0
16	GKS Katowice	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.1	0
17	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
18	Korona Kielce	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cracovia	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.4	6
2	Rakow	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
3	Widzew Lodz	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.9	4
4	Piast Gliwice	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.3	4
5	Gornik Zabrze	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.5	4
6	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
7	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
8	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
9	Legia	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
10	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
11	Pogon Szczecin	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.1	1
12	Lech Poznan	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
13	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.3	1
14	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-3	-3.6	1
15	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
16	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
17	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
18	Puszcza	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.