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Championship
Referee: O Langford
Leeds
S T U S T
3–3
Full-time
Portsmouth
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Portsmouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

3,39 xG 0,94
69% Possession 31%
22 Shots 5
10 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Corners 0
0 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Leeds Portsmouth
6′
🟨 Callum Lang
1–0 P. Struijk ⚽
10′
23′
⚽ E. Sørensen 1–1
M. Pack
Joe Rodon 🟨
40′
41′
⚽ C. Lang 1–2
45′
🟨 Andre Dozzell
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 T. Devlin
↦ S. Silvera
2–2 W. Gnonto ⚽
G. Rutter
46′
57′
🟨 Connor Ogilvie
63′
🔁 C. Saydee
↦ E. Sørensen
J. Rothwell 🔁
↦ I. Gruev
71′
J. Piroe 🔁
↦ D. James
72′
B. Aaronson 🔁
↦ W. Gnonto
72′
75′
🔁 O. Moxon
↦ A. Dozzell
Pascal Struijk 🟨
78′
P. Bamford 🔁
↦ Mateo Joseph
79′
83′
🔁 M. Ritchie
↦ P. Lane
86′
🟨 Ryley Towler
92′
⚽ C. Lang 2–3
3–3 B. Aaronson ⚽
J. Piroe
95′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Leeds

4-2-3-1
1 I. Meslier G
2 J. Bogle D
6 J. Rodon D
5 P. Struijk D
3 J. Firpo D
4 E. Ampadu M
44 I. Gruev M
7 D. James M
24 G. Rutter M
29 W. Gnonto M
19 Mateo Joseph F
Bench (9)
8 J. Rothwell
10 J. Piroe
11 B. Aaronson
9 P. Bamford
26 K. Darlow
30 J. Gelhardt
25 S. Byram
50 C. Crew
39 M. Wöber

Coach: D. Farke

Portsmouth

4-2-3-1
1 W. Norris G
2 J. Williams D
6 C. Shaughnessy D
4 R. Towler D
3 C. Ogilvie D
21 A. Dozzell M
7 M. Pack M
32 P. Lane M
49 C. Lang M
20 S. Silvera M
18 E. Sørensen F
Bench (9)
24 T. Devlin
15 C. Saydee
17 O. Moxon
30 M. Ritchie
14 B. Stevenson
31 J. Archer
11 G. Whyte
26 T. Lowery
22 Z. Swanson

Coach: J. Mousinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,37
🔒
U ✓
5,01
🔒
B
7,81
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,59
🔒
U2,5
2,32
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

O Langford · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.