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Coppa Italia

Referee: A Arena

Empoli

T U T U S

4–1

Full-time

Catanzaro

T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Catanzaro

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,7

4,2

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%

21 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Avellino	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Catania	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Torres	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Avellino	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Torres	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Catania	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.