← Match Finder
Primeira Liga
Referee: André Narciso
AVS
S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Nacional
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

AVS Nacional
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 54%
75%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,01 xG 0,53
54% Possession 46%
17 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

AVS Nacional
35′
⚽ Miguel Baeza 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Ulisses
Kiki 🔁
↦ Rafael Rodrigues
46′
1–1 J. Mercado ⚽
Kiki
56′
58′
🔁 Rúben Macedo
↦ N. Thomas
58′
🔁 Daniel Penha
↦ A. Appiah
Jonatan Lucca 🔁
↦ G. Aburjania
68′
71′
🔁 Bruno Costa
↦ Miguel Baeza
71′
🔁 André Sousa
↦ Matheus Dias
72′
🔁 Afonso Freitas
↦ José Gomes
Nenê 🟨
83′
Y. Mena 🔁
↦ Granada
90′
E. Veiga 🔁
↦ J. Mercado
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

AVS

4-3-3
93 Simão G
22 Léo Alaba D
42 C. Devenish D
40 Clayton D
3 Rafael Rodrigues D
6 B. Roux M
8 G. Aburjania M
14 Lucas Piazón M
70 Granada F
18 Nenê F
17 J. Mercado F
Bench (7)
24 Kiki
47 Jonatan Lucca
27 E. Veiga
16 Y. Mena
5 Jorge Teixeira
23 Gustavo Mendonça
88 Pedro Trigueira

Coach: Vítor Campelos

Nacional

4-3-3
37 Lucas França G
22 Gustavo Garcia D
4 Ulisses D
38 Zé Vitor D
5 José Gomes D
10 Luís Esteves M
88 Matheus Dias M
19 Miguel Baeza M
11 N. Thomas F
9 Adrián Butzke F
70 A. Appiah F
Bench (8)
7 Rúben Macedo
17 Daniel Penha
8 Bruno Costa
18 André Sousa
25 Afonso Freitas
72 Tiago Reis
33 Francisco Gonçalves
1 Rui Encarnação

Coach: Tiago Margarido

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,26
🔒
U ✓
3,28
🔒
B
3,21
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,09
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,74
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

André Narciso · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.