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Super League
Referee: S Schärer
Basel
S U U T U
4–1
Full-time
Sion
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Sion
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 42%
47%
37%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
58%
42%
Both score Ø 53%
58%
47%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,04 xG 0,84
50% Possession 50%
22 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 2. · Sion 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lugano 20 10 5 5 +7 +1.1 35
2 Basel 19 9 4 6 +21 +13.8 31
3 Lausanne 20 9 4 7 +8 +10.2 31
4 Servette 20 8 7 5 +2 -0.1 31
5 Luzern 19 8 6 5 +3 +1.4 30
6 Zurich 19 8 6 5 +0 -2.8 30
7 St. Gallen 20 7 8 5 +7 -4.8 29
8 Sion 19 7 5 7 +3 +8.8 26
9 Young Boys 20 6 7 7 -4 +3.0 25
10 Grasshoppers 20 4 7 9 -9 -4.0 19
11 Yverdon 20 4 6 10 -13 -12.1 18
12 Winterthur 20 3 5 12 -25 -14.4 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Basel Sion
20′
⚽ T. Berdayes 0–1
A. Kabacalman
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi 🟨
30′
1–1 D. Schmid ⚽
45′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Kevin Carlos ⚽
D. Schmid
53′
55′
🟨 Nias Hefti
60′
🔁 A. Miranchuk
↦ D. Djokic
P. Otele 🔁
↦ B. Traoré
64′
3–1 J. Mendes ⚽
A. Kade
66′
A. Ajeti 🔁
↦ Kevin Carlos
69′
Romário Baró 🔁
↦ A. Kade
69′
73′
🔁 B. Kololli
↦ G. Diouf
73′
🔁 Marquinhos Cipriano
↦ N. Hefti
4–1 P. Otele ⚽
X. Shaqiri
76′
F. van Breemen 🔁
↦ A. Barišić
77′
M. Šotiček 🔁
↦ X. Shaqiri
78′
83′
🔁 D. Sorgić
↦ T. Bouchlarhem
83′
🔁 B. Joseph
↦ T. Berdayes
Albian Ajeti ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
94′
Albian Ajeti 🟥
95′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hitz G
17 J. Mendes D
26 A. Barišić D
32 J. Adjetey D
31 D. Schmid D
37 L. Avdullahu M
22 L. Leroy M
10 X. Shaqiri M
11 B. Traoré M
30 A. Kade M
9 Kevin Carlos F
Bench (9)
7 P. Otele
23 A. Ajeti
8 Romário Baró
25 F. van Breemen
19 M. Šotiček
3 N. Vouilloz
13 M. Salvi
29 M. Cissé
21 G. Sigua

Coach: F. Celestini

Sion

4-2-3-1
16 T. Fayulu G
14 N. Lavanchy D
4 G. Diouf D
93 F. Barba D
20 N. Hefti D
88 A. Kabacalman M
17 J. Kronig M
19 D. Djokic M
29 T. Berdayes M
11 T. Bouchlarhem M
7 I. Chouaref F
Bench (8)
10 A. Miranchuk
70 B. Kololli
6 Marquinhos Cipriano
9 D. Sorgić
18 B. Joseph
3 R. Ziegler
1 H. Lindner
99 M. Bouriga

Coach: D. Tholot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

S Schärer · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.