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Super League
Referee: A Dudic
Winterthur
S T T T S
0–0
Full-time
Zurich
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Zurich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 32%
20%
43%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
57%
53%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,43 xG 1,26
44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Winterthur 12. · Zurich 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Basel 30 15 7 8 +29 +18.7 52
2 Servette 30 14 9 7 +9 +1.2 51
3 Young Boys 30 14 7 9 +11 +10.9 49
4 Luzern 30 13 9 8 +8 +5.3 48
5 Lugano 30 14 6 10 +5 +8.5 48
6 Zurich 30 13 7 10 +1 -3.6 46
7 Lausanne 30 11 8 11 +5 +7.7 41
8 St. Gallen 30 10 10 10 +1 -5.2 40
9 Sion 30 9 8 13 -7 +1.9 35
10 Yverdon 30 8 8 14 -18 -15.1 32
11 Grasshoppers 30 5 12 13 -13 -11.0 27
12 Winterthur 30 6 5 19 -31 -19.4 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Winterthur Zurich
21′
🔁 D. Vujevic
↦ D. Denoon
24′
🟨 Cheveyo Tsawa
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 C. Fiorini
↦ C. Tsawa
46′
🔁 M. Reichmuth
↦ V. Nvendo
Dario Ulrich 🟨
49′
56′
🔁 J. Markelo
↦ S. Ballet
S. Diaby 🔁
↦ T. Schättin
61′
Alexandre Jankewitz 🟨
75′
J. Lukembila 🔁
↦ N. Burkart
76′
S. Cueni 🔁
↦ M. Di Giusto
76′
82′
🔁 Rodrigo Conceição
↦ B. Krasniqi
R. Buess 🔁
↦ C. Gomis
85′
F. Frei 🔁
↦ L. Zuffi
85′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Winterthur

4-2-3-1
1 S. Kapino G
24 S. Sidler D
16 R. Arnold D
21 L. Lüthi D
3 T. Schättin D
45 A. Jankewitz M
7 L. Zuffi M
19 D. Ulrich M
10 M. Di Giusto M
99 N. Burkart M
15 C. Gomis F
Bench (9)
18 S. Diaby
90 J. Lukembila
44 S. Cueni
9 R. Buess
20 F. Frei
6 R. Schneider
4 B. Stillhart
5 L. Mühl
30 M. Kuster

Coach: U. Forte

Zurich

4-2-3-1
25 Y. Brecher G
2 L. Kamberi D
36 D. Denoon D
5 M. Gómez D
3 B. Mendy D
7 B. Krasniqi M
6 C. Tsawa M
8 S. Ballet M
17 S. Zuber M
23 M. Chouiar M
40 V. Nvendo F
Bench (9)
35 D. Vujevic
34 C. Fiorini
38 M. Reichmuth
26 J. Markelo
27 Rodrigo Conceição
11 U. Emmanuel
43 N. Volken
28 S. Huber
31 M. Kryeziu

Coach: R. Moniz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Dudic · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.