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Super League

Referee: Alessandro Dudic

Lugano

T T U S S

1–0

Full-time

Zurich

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Zurich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 44%

38%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 82%

75%

88%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

Average goals

3,4

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,6

Conceded

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,41 xG 0,92

42% Possession 58%

16 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 10

4 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 8. · Zurich 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	9	6	1	2	+6	-1.8	19
2	Basel	9	6	0	3	+9	+10.3	18
3	St. Gallen	8	5	0	3	+7	+1.7	15
4	Young Boys	8	4	2	2	-1	-2.7	14
5	Zurich	8	4	1	3	-2	+2.6	13
6	Sion	8	3	3	2	+3	+1.2	12
7	Luzern	8	3	3	2	+1	-4.4	12
8	Lugano	8	3	1	4	-3	+3.2	10
9	Grasshoppers	8	2	3	3	+2	-4.4	9
10	Lausanne	8	2	2	4	+1	+3.3	8
11	Servette	9	2	2	5	-5	+0.7	8
12	Winterthur	9	0	2	7	-18	-9.7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	4	3	1	0	+6	+2.4	10
2	Basel	4	3	0	1	+6	+10.0	9
3	St. Gallen	5	3	0	2	+5	+2.1	9
4	Grasshoppers	4	2	1	1	+4	+0.5	7
5	Lugano	4	2	1	1	+2	+1.8	7
6	Thun	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.4	7
7	Lausanne	4	2	0	2	+4	+2.9	6
8	Zurich	4	2	0	2	-2	+2.2	6
9	Servette	5	1	2	2	-2	+0.6	5
10	Sion	4	1	1	2	+1	-0.2	4
11	Luzern	4	0	2	2	-2	-0.5	2
12	Winterthur	4	0	1	3	-5	-1.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	5	4	0	1	+5	+0.6	12
2	Luzern	4	3	1	0	+3	-3.9	10
3	Basel	5	3	0	2	+3	+0.3	9
4	Sion	4	2	2	0	+2	+1.4	8
5	Zurich	4	2	1	1	+0	+0.4	7
6	St. Gallen	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.4	6
7	Young Boys	4	1	1	2	-7	-5.1	4
8	Servette	4	1	0	3	-3	+0.1	3
9	Lugano	4	1	0	3	-5	+1.5	3
10	Grasshoppers	4	0	2	2	-2	-4.8	2
11	Lausanne	4	0	2	2	-3	+0.4	2
12	Winterthur	5	0	1	4	-13	-8.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.