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Super League

Referee: Alessandro Dudic

St. Gallen

S S S T S

1–0

Full-time

Lugano

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

4,0

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

1,0

2,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 53%

80%

25%

Points per game

2,4

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 90%

80%

100%

Both score Ø 68%

60%

75%

Average goals

3,4

3,8

Scored

2,6

1,3

Conceded

0,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,90 xG 2,10

36% Possession 64%

14 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gallen 2. · Lugano 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	6	4	1	1	+5	-1.1	13
2	St. Gallen	5	4	0	1	+9	+7.2	12
3	Basel	6	4	0	2	+4	+5.7	12
4	Zurich	6	3	1	2	-1	-1.0	10
5	Luzern	5	2	2	1	+1	-2.1	8
6	Young Boys	5	2	2	1	+1	-1.3	8
7	Sion	4	2	1	1	+4	-0.8	7
8	Grasshoppers	5	0	3	2	-2	-3.9	3
9	Lausanne	4	1	0	3	-2	+2.7	3
10	Lugano	4	1	0	3	-5	+0.6	3
11	Servette	5	0	2	3	-6	-0.1	2
12	Winterthur	5	0	2	3	-8	-5.8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.3	7
2	St. Gallen	3	2	0	1	+5	+3.3	6
3	Basel	2	2	0	0	+4	+5.3	6
4	Thun	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.9	4
5	Sion	2	1	0	1	+3	-1.2	3
6	Lugano	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.3	3
7	Lausanne	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.0	3
8	Zurich	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.1	3
9	Servette	3	0	2	1	-3	+0.4	2
10	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
11	Luzern	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
12	Winterthur	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.8	9
2	Zurich	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.1	7
3	Luzern	3	2	1	0	+2	-2.5	7
4	St. Gallen	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.9	6
5	Basel	4	2	0	2	+0	+0.4	6
6	Sion	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
7	Grasshoppers	3	0	2	1	-1	-3.4	2
8	Young Boys	2	0	1	1	-3	-3.6	1
9	Winterthur	3	0	1	2	-6	-4.5	1
10	Lausanne	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.7	0
11	Servette	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
12	Lugano	2	0	0	2	-6	+0.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.