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Super League
Referee: Anojen Kanagasingam
Lausanne
S S U S S
1–3
Full-time
Servette
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,7
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
30%
30%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
80%
80%
Both score Ø 75%
80%
70%
Average goals
3,5
3,4
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
19 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lausanne 9. · Servette 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Thun 11 8 1 2 +10 -1.8 25
2 St. Gallen 11 7 0 4 +12 +2.9 21
3 Basel 10 6 0 4 +5 +7.6 18
4 Sion 11 5 3 3 +4 +3.3 18
5 Young Boys 10 5 2 3 -1 -3.0 17
6 Luzern 10 3 5 2 +1 -3.1 14
7 Lugano 10 4 1 5 -3 +3.6 13
8 Zurich 10 4 1 5 -4 +3.3 13
9 Lausanne 10 3 3 4 +5 +4.7 12
10 Servette 10 3 2 5 -4 +0.8 11
11 Grasshoppers 10 2 3 5 -4 -8.5 9
12 Winterthur 11 0 3 8 -21 -9.7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lausanne Servette
Abdou Karim Sow 🟨
41′
42′
🔁 G. Morandi
↦ L. Srdanovic
Half-time 0–0
Nicky Beloko 🟨
48′
49′
F. Aye 0–1
54′
🟨 Bradley Mazikou
1–1 B. Lekoueiry
57′
59′
🟨 Lamine Fomba
B. Okoh 🔁
↦ K. Sow
65′
F. Mollet 🔁
↦ N. Beloko
65′
76′
M. Poaty 2–1
own goal
E. Kana-Biyik 🔁
↦ O. Custodio
77′
N. Butler-Oyedeji 🔁
↦ B. Lekoueiry
78′
83′
🔁 S. Mraz
↦ F. Aye
84′
🟨 Giotto Morandi
S. Fofana 🔁
↦ M. Poaty
87′
90′
S. Mraz 2–2
M. Stevanovic
92′
🔁 A. Baron
↦ T. Cognat
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Lausanne

4-3-1-2
25 K. Letica G
2 B. Soppy D
14 K. Mouanga D
71 K. Sow D
18 M. Poaty D
10 O. Custodio M
8 J. Roche M
16 N. Beloko M
27 B. Lekoueiry M
70 G. Diakite F
9 T. Bair F
Bench (9)
1 T. Castella
5 B. Okoh
7 A. Ajdini
11 N. Butler-Oyedeji
20 H. Abdallah
22 E. Kana-Biyik
47 S. N'Diaye
91 F. Mollet
93 S. Fofana

Coach: Peter Zeidler

Servette

4-1-4-1
1 J. Mall G
2 L. Srdanovic D
4 S. Rouiller D
25 D. Bronn D
18 B. Mazikou D
28 D. Douline M
9 M. Stevanovic M
8 T. Cognat M
11 L. Fomba M
14 L. Njoh M
97 F. Aye F
Bench (9)
5 G. Ondoua
6 A. Baron
7 G. Morandi
10 A. Antunes
20 T. Magnin
32 J. Frick
34 T. Allix
36 T. Lopes
90 S. Mraz

Coach: Jocelyn Gourvennec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.