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Bundesliga

Referee: G Winkmann

Dortmund

T S T S T

4–0

Full-time

Freiburg

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,7

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%

16 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dortmund 11. · Freiburg 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Augsburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Union Berlin	3	1	1	1	+2	4
4	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Bielefeld	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Bayern Munich	2	1	0	1	+5	3
9	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Hertha	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Werder Bremen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Wolfsburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Leverkusen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	M'gladbach	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Mainz	3	0	0	3	-9	0
18	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Union Berlin	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Freiburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	RB Leipzig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Dortmund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Bayern Munich	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Mainz	2	0	0	2	-6	0
18	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.