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Bundesliga

Referee: T Stieler

RB Leipzig

S S U S S

2–1

Full-time

Hertha

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Hertha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

75%

25%

Points per game

2,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

3,0

4,5

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

0,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%

26 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 21

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match RB Leipzig 1. · Hertha 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Bayern Munich	4	3	0	1	+9	9
3	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+6	9
4	Stuttgart	5	2	2	1	+4	8
5	Ein Frankfurt	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	+0	7
8	Hoffenheim	4	2	0	2	+2	6
9	Leverkusen	4	1	3	0	+1	6
10	Union Berlin	4	1	2	1	+2	5
11	M'gladbach	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Freiburg	4	1	2	1	-3	5
13	Wolfsburg	4	0	4	0	+0	4
14	Bielefeld	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Hertha	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	FC Koln	5	0	2	3	-4	2
17	Schalke 04	4	0	1	3	-14	1
18	Mainz	4	0	0	4	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	RB Leipzig	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Union Berlin	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Werder Bremen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Bielefeld	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Freiburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	M'gladbach	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Wolfsburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Stuttgart	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Schalke 04	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	FC Koln	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Hertha	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Mainz	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Leverkusen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
3	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Werder Bremen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Augsburg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Hertha	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Bayern Munich	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	M'gladbach	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Wolfsburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Union Berlin	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Bielefeld	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	FC Koln	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Mainz	2	0	0	2	-6	0
18	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.