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Bundesliga
Referee: S Storks
Werder Bremen
U S S T T
3–2
Full-time
Augsburg
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
4,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,2
3,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-2,5
This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,5
4,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
3,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

66% Possession 34%
15 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Werder Bremen 17. · Augsburg 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Bayern Munich 3 2 1 0 +8 7
3 Wolfsburg 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Leverkusen 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Dortmund 3 2 0 1 +4 6
6 Freiburg 3 2 0 1 +4 6
7 M'gladbach 3 1 1 1 +0 4
8 Hoffenheim 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Schalke 04 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Union Berlin 3 1 1 1 -2 4
11 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Ein Frankfurt 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 FC Koln 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 Paderborn 3 0 1 2 -3 1
15 Augsburg 2 0 1 1 -4 1
16 Hertha 3 0 1 2 -6 1
17 Werder Bremen 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Mainz 3 0 0 3 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Augsburg
1–0 Y. Ōsako
N. Füllkrug
6′
12′
R. Vargas 1–1
S. Lichtsteiner
2–1 J. Sargent
N. Şahin
21′
23′
🟨 Stephan Lichtsteiner
26′
🟨 Ruben Vargas
34′
🟨 Stephan Lichtsteiner
34′
🟥 Stephan Lichtsteiner
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 M. Suchý
↦ M. Gregoritsch
46′
R. Vargas 2–2
F. Niederlechner
3–2 Y. Ōsako
M. Friedl
67′
73′
🔁 A. Finnbogason
↦ R. Vargas
C. Pizarro 🔁
↦ J. Sargent
82′
85′
🔁 M. Pedersen
↦ P. Max
M. Harnik 🔁
↦ N. Füllkrug
87′
Jiří Pavlenka 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Florian Niederlechner
C. Groß 🔁
↦ Y. Ōsako
91′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

4-3-1-2
1 J. Pavlenka G
18 N. Moisander D
4 M. Lang D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
32 M. Friedl D
17 N. Şahin M
30 D. Klaassen M
35 M. Eggestein M
8 Y. Ōsako M
11 N. Füllkrug F
19 J. Sargent F
Bench (6)
14 C. Pizarro
9 M. Harnik
36 C. Groß
26 S. Straudi
27 S. Kapino
28 I. Gruev

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Augsburg

4-4-2
21 T. Koubek G
2 S. Lichtsteiner D
18 T. Jedvaj D
31 P. Max D
19 F. Uduokhai D
10 D. Baier M
11 M. Gregoritsch F
8 R. Khedira M
7 F. Niederlechner F
23 M. Richter M
16 R. Vargas M
Bench (9)
5 M. Suchý
27 A. Finnbogason
3 M. Pedersen
36 R. Oxford
25 C. Gruezo
34 G. Teigl
1 A. Luthe
20 J. Schieber
28 A. Hahn

Coach: M. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,70
U
4,03
B
4,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,36
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Storks · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.