Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Freiburg
Dortmund
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hoffenheim
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 |
Dortmund
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |
FC Koln
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 5 |
Mainz
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Wolfsburg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Stuttgart
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 8 |
M'gladbach
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 9 |
Bayern Munich
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 10 |
Union Berlin
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 11 |
Leverkusen
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 12 |
Bielefeld
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 13 |
Freiburg
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 14 |
Bochum
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Hertha
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 |
Greuther Furth
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 |
Augsburg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Flekken
G
C. Günter
D
P. Lienhart
D
N. Schlotterbeck
D
V. Grifo
M
R. Sallai
M
Y. Keitel
M
Jeong Woo-Yeong
F
L. Höler
F
Coach: C. Streich
G. Kobel
G
M. Akanji
D
F. Passlack
D
A. Witsel
D
G. Reyna
M
J. Bellingham
M
D. Malen
F
E. Haaland
F
Coach: M. Rose
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Bielefeld
Freiburg
Ein Frankfurt
Freiburg
Freiburg
Bayern Munich
FC Koln
Freiburg
Hertha
Freiburg
R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.