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Bundesliga

Referee: D Aytekin

M'gladbach

U T T S T

1–0

Full-time

Dortmund

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,3

5,3

Scored

1,5

3,3

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,3

This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

20%

80%

Points per game

0,8

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 80%

60%

100%

Both score Ø 80%

60%

100%

Average goals

2,8

5,6

Scored

1,0

3,4

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%

14 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 0

7 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 1

4 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match M'gladbach 16. · Dortmund 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	6	5	1	0	+18	16
2	Leverkusen	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	Wolfsburg	6	4	1	1	+3	13
4	Dortmund	5	4	0	1	+6	12
5	Mainz	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	FC Koln	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Freiburg	5	2	3	0	+2	9
8	Union Berlin	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Hoffenheim	6	2	2	2	+3	8
10	RB Leipzig	6	2	1	3	+5	7
11	Hertha	6	2	0	4	-11	6
12	Ein Frankfurt	6	0	5	1	-3	5
13	Augsburg	5	1	2	2	-6	5
14	Stuttgart	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Bielefeld	6	0	4	2	-3	4
16	M'gladbach	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Bochum	5	1	0	4	-9	3
18	Greuther Furth	6	0	1	5	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+13	9
2	Dortmund	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Union Berlin	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Mainz	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	FC Koln	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Wolfsburg	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	RB Leipzig	3	2	0	1	+7	6
8	Leverkusen	3	2	0	1	+4	6
9	M'gladbach	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Stuttgart	3	1	0	2	+1	3
13	Hertha	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Bochum	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Ein Frankfurt	3	0	3	0	+0	3
16	Bielefeld	3	0	3	0	+0	3
17	Augsburg	3	1	0	2	-6	3
18	Greuther Furth	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Wolfsburg	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Freiburg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+3	4
6	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Mainz	3	1	0	2	-1	3
8	Hertha	4	1	0	3	-11	3
9	Augsburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	FC Koln	3	0	2	1	-1	2
11	Ein Frankfurt	3	0	2	1	-3	2
12	Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	RB Leipzig	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Bielefeld	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Stuttgart	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	M'gladbach	3	0	0	3	-6	0
17	Greuther Furth	3	0	0	3	-8	0
18	Bochum	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.