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Bundesliga

Referee: S Jablonski

Dortmund

S S T S S

4–2

Full-time

Union Berlin

S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Union Berlin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

5,0

2,3

Scored

3,2

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

75%

25%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 88%

100%

75%

Average goals

5,5

2,3

Scored

3,3

1,3

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

63% Possession 37%

13 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 6

0 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dortmund 5. · Union Berlin 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	5	4	1	0	+16	13
2	Wolfsburg	4	4	0	0	+5	12
3	Leverkusen	5	3	1	1	+8	10
4	Mainz	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Freiburg	5	2	3	0	+2	9
7	FC Koln	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Union Berlin	4	1	3	0	+1	6
9	Hertha	5	2	0	3	-5	6
10	Hoffenheim	5	1	2	2	+1	5
11	Augsburg	5	1	2	2	-6	5
12	RB Leipzig	5	1	1	3	-1	4
13	Bielefeld	5	0	4	1	-2	4
14	Stuttgart	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	M'gladbach	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Ein Frankfurt	4	0	3	1	-3	3
17	Bochum	5	1	0	4	-9	3
18	Greuther Furth	5	0	1	4	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+13	9
2	Mainz	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	FC Koln	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Union Berlin	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	M'gladbach	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Leverkusen	2	1	0	1	+3	3
10	Stuttgart	3	1	0	2	+1	3
11	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Hertha	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Bochum	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Bielefeld	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Augsburg	3	1	0	2	-6	3
16	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Hoffenheim	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Greuther Furth	2	0	1	1	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Freiburg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+3	4
5	Bayern Munich	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Mainz	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Hertha	3	1	0	2	-5	3
9	Augsburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	FC Koln	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Bielefeld	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	RB Leipzig	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Stuttgart	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	M'gladbach	3	0	0	3	-6	0
17	Greuther Furth	3	0	0	3	-8	0
18	Bochum	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.