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Bundesliga
Referee: S Stegemann
RB Leipzig
T S T T U
6–0
Full-time
Hertha
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
40%
100%
Both score Ø 60%
40%
80%
Average goals
2,6
3,8
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,4
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

61% Possession 39%
18 Shots 4
10 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 1
3 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match RB Leipzig 12. · Hertha 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 6 5 1 0 +18 16
2 Wolfsburg 5 4 1 0 +5 13
3 Dortmund 5 4 0 1 +6 12
4 Leverkusen 5 3 1 1 +8 10
5 Mainz 5 3 1 1 +4 10
6 Freiburg 5 2 3 0 +2 9
7 FC Koln 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 Union Berlin 5 1 3 1 -1 6
9 Hertha 5 2 0 3 -5 6
10 Hoffenheim 5 1 2 2 +1 5
11 Augsburg 5 1 2 2 -6 5
12 RB Leipzig 5 1 1 3 -1 4
13 Bielefeld 5 0 4 1 -2 4
14 Stuttgart 5 1 1 3 -3 4
15 Ein Frankfurt 5 0 4 1 -3 4
16 M'gladbach 5 1 1 3 -4 4
17 Bochum 5 1 0 4 -9 3
18 Greuther Furth 6 0 1 5 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

RB Leipzig Hertha
1–0 C. Nkunku
L. Klostermann
16′
2–0 Y. Poulsen
C. Nkunku
23′
25′
🟨 Vladimír Darida
Lukas Klostermann ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
37′
37′
ℹ️ Lukas Klostermann
VAR: Goal confirmed
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 D. Jastrzembski
↦ V. Darida
3–0 N. Mukiele
Angeliño
48′
M. Simakan 🔁
↦ J. Gvardiol
55′
59′
🟨 Niklas Stark
59′
🔁 I. Belfodil
↦ D. Selke
59′
🔁 M. Richter
↦ J. Ekkelenkamp
4–0 E. Forsberg
60′
Nordi Mukiele 🟨
62′
André Silva 🔁
↦ Y. Poulsen
65′
B. Brobbey 🔁
↦ E. Forsberg
65′
K. Laimer 🔁
↦ K. Kampl
65′
5–0 C. Nkunku
70′
B. Henrichs 🔁
↦ C. Nkunku
74′
6–0 A. Haïdara
B. Brobbey
77′
83′
🔁 K. Piątek
↦ S. Serdar
85′
🟨 Marvin Plattenhardt
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

3-4-2-1
1 P. Gulácsi G
4 W. Orban D
16 L. Klostermann D
3 Angeliño M
22 N. Mukiele M
32 J. Gvardiol D
10 E. Forsberg F
44 K. Kampl M
18 C. Nkunku F
8 A. Haïdara M
9 Y. Poulsen F
Bench (9)
2 M. Simakan
33 André Silva
21 B. Brobbey
27 K. Laimer
39 B. Henrichs
47 J. Wosz
31 Josep Martínez
17 D. Szoboszlai
26 Ilaix Moriba

Coach: J. Marsch

Hertha

3-4-2-1
1 A. Schwolow G
21 M. Plattenhardt M
5 N. Stark D
42 D. Zeefuik M
31 M. Dárdai D
6 V. Darida M
8 S. Serdar F
29 L. Tousart D
18 S. Ascacíbar M
10 J. Ekkelenkamp F
7 D. Selke F
Bench (9)
30 D. Jastrzembski
14 I. Belfodil
23 M. Richter
9 K. Piątek
32 O. Christensen
34 C. Röcker
2 P. Pekarík
27 K. Boateng
17 M. Mittelstädt

Coach: P. Dárdai

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,35
U
5,27
B
8,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,40
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.