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Bundesliga
Referee: T Stieler
Wolfsburg
S U T S S
1–0
Full-time
RB Leipzig
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 7
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 7. · RB Leipzig 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leverkusen 3 2 1 0 +7 7
2 Bayern Munich 3 2 1 0 +6 7
3 Freiburg 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Dortmund 3 2 0 1 +3 6
5 FC Koln 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Mainz 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Wolfsburg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
8 Union Berlin 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Hoffenheim 3 1 1 1 +3 4
10 RB Leipzig 2 1 0 1 +3 3
11 Bochum 3 1 0 2 +0 3
12 Bielefeld 3 0 3 0 +0 3
13 Stuttgart 3 1 0 2 -1 3
14 Ein Frankfurt 3 0 2 1 -3 2
15 M'gladbach 3 0 1 2 -5 1
16 Greuther Furth 3 0 1 2 -7 1
17 Augsburg 3 0 1 2 -7 1
18 Hertha 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg RB Leipzig
26′
🟨 Joško Gvardiol
Renato Steffen 🟨
35′
35′
🟨 Tyler Adams
Half-time 1–0
1–0 J. Roussillon
52′
59′
🔁 K. Laimer
↦ A. Haïdara
Xaver Schlager 🟨
65′
68′
🔁 Y. Poulsen
↦ D. Szoboszlai
J. Guilavogui 🔁
↦ X. Schlager
69′
Josuha Guilavogui 🟨
70′
L. Nmecha 🔁
↦ M. Philipp
78′
86′
🔁 B. Brobbey
↦ M. Simakan
86′
🔁 K. Kampl
↦ T. Adams
86′
🔁 N. Mukiele
↦ J. Gvardiol
Jérôme Roussillon 🟨
88′
Omar Marmoush 🔁
↦ R. Steffen
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
15 J. Roussillon D
25 J. Brooks D
19 K. Mbabu D
20 R. Baku M
4 M. Lacroix D
27 M. Arnold M
17 M. Philipp M
11 R. Steffen M
24 X. Schlager M
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (9)
23 J. Guilavogui
10 L. Nmecha
29 Omar Marmoush
12 P. Pervan
31 Y. Gerhardt
14 A. Mehmedi
7 J. Brekalo
3 S. Bornauw
8 A. Vranckx

Coach: M. van Bommel

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
1 P. Gulácsi G
4 W. Orban D
16 L. Klostermann D
2 M. Simakan D
32 J. Gvardiol D
10 E. Forsberg M
18 C. Nkunku M
14 T. Adams M
8 A. Haïdara M
17 D. Szoboszlai M
33 André Silva F
Bench (9)
27 K. Laimer
9 Y. Poulsen
21 B. Brobbey
44 K. Kampl
22 N. Mukiele
37 S. Raebiger
39 B. Henrichs
31 Josep Martínez
47 J. Wosz

Coach: J. Marsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,46
U
3,55
B
2,11
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.