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La Liga

Referee: Eduardo Prieto Iglesias

Celta

S U S S T

3–3

Full-time

Valladolid

U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

4,0

0,5

Scored

1,8

0,0

Conceded

2,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

75%

Average goals

3,0

0,5

Scored

1,8

0,0

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

46% Possession 54%

12 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 8

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 4. · Valladolid 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Alaves	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Celta	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Espanol	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Getafe	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Sociedad	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Girona	4	2	1	1	-1	7
9	Ath Bilbao	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Ath Madrid	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Betis	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Levante	4	1	1	2	+1	4
13	Sevilla	4	1	1	2	+0	4
14	Villarreal	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Eibar	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Huesca	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Valencia	4	0	3	1	-2	3
18	Vallecano	4	1	0	3	-7	3
19	Valladolid	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Leganes	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Ath Bilbao	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Celta	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Getafe	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Girona	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Betis	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Valencia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Levante	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Villarreal	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Valladolid	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Huesca	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Vallecano	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
2	Alaves	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Huesca	3	1	1	1	-5	4
7	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Levante	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Celta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Getafe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Valladolid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Ath Madrid	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Eibar	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Leganes	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.