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La Liga

Referee: Pablo González

Valencia

U S U S S

1–2

Full-time

Real Madrid

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

2,2

2,7

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+1,5

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 75%

75%

Points per game

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,8

4,8

Scored

2,3

3,3

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

12 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 10

1 Blocked shots 4

8 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 3. · Real Madrid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	5	3	2	0	+3	11
2	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Valencia	4	3	1	0	+7	10
4	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Ath Bilbao	5	2	3	0	+3	9
6	Sevilla	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Osasuna	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Mallorca	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	Vallecano	5	2	1	2	+3	7
10	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Betis	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Elche	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Cadiz	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Villarreal	4	0	4	0	+0	4
15	Levante	5	0	4	1	-1	4
16	Espanol	5	0	3	2	-2	3
17	Granada	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Celta	5	0	1	4	-6	1
19	Getafe	5	0	0	5	-7	0
20	Alaves	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Mallorca	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Elche	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Levante	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Betis	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Osasuna	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Granada	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Cadiz	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Celta	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Alaves	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Sevilla	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Ath Bilbao	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Cadiz	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Betis	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Sociedad	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Villarreal	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Elche	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Mallorca	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Levante	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Espanol	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Barcelona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Celta	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Vallecano	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Granada	2	0	1	1	-4	1
19	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Getafe	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.