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La Liga

Referee: Isidro Díaz de Mera

Vallecano

U T T T T

0–1

Full-time

Real Madrid

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

0,3

1,7

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 24/25 matches

Win Ø 53%

38%

68%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

46%

60%

Both score Ø 49%

42%

56%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%

19 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 9

0 Offside 5

20 Free kicks against 5

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vallecano 12. · Real Madrid 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	25	17	6	2	+31	57
2	Sevilla	25	14	9	2	+20	51
3	Betis	25	14	4	7	+17	46
4	Barcelona	24	11	9	4	+14	42
5	Ath Madrid	25	12	6	7	+11	42
6	Villarreal	25	10	9	6	+18	39
7	Sociedad	24	10	8	6	-1	38
8	Ath Bilbao	25	9	10	6	+8	37
9	Valencia	26	8	9	9	-4	33
10	Celta	25	8	8	9	+3	32
11	Osasuna	25	8	8	9	-5	32
12	Vallecano	24	9	4	11	-1	31
13	Espanol	25	7	8	10	-5	29
14	Elche	26	7	8	11	-9	29
15	Getafe	26	6	9	11	-4	27
16	Mallorca	25	6	8	11	-16	26
17	Granada	25	5	9	11	-13	24
18	Alaves	26	5	6	15	-23	21
19	Cadiz	25	3	11	11	-18	20
20	Levante	26	3	9	14	-23	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	13	9	4	0	+20	31
2	Sevilla	12	9	3	0	+16	30
3	Vallecano	12	8	2	2	+12	26
4	Villarreal	13	7	4	2	+16	25
5	Ath Madrid	12	7	3	2	+9	24
6	Betis	13	7	2	4	+10	23
7	Barcelona	11	7	2	2	+10	23
8	Espanol	13	6	4	3	+3	22
9	Sociedad	12	6	4	2	+3	22
10	Getafe	13	6	3	4	+6	21
11	Ath Bilbao	12	6	2	4	+6	20
12	Elche	12	5	5	2	+3	20
13	Valencia	13	4	6	3	+2	18
14	Mallorca	13	4	6	3	+1	18
15	Celta	13	4	3	6	+0	15
16	Granada	12	4	3	5	-4	15
17	Alaves	13	4	3	6	-5	15
18	Levante	13	2	6	5	-5	12
19	Osasuna	13	2	6	5	-9	12
20	Cadiz	13	0	8	5	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	12	8	2	2	+11	26
2	Betis	12	7	2	3	+7	23
3	Sevilla	13	5	6	2	+4	21
4	Osasuna	12	6	2	4	+4	20
5	Barcelona	13	4	7	2	+4	19
6	Ath Madrid	13	5	3	5	+2	18
7	Celta	12	4	5	3	+3	17
8	Ath Bilbao	13	3	8	2	+2	17
9	Sociedad	12	4	4	4	-4	16
10	Valencia	13	4	3	6	-6	15
11	Villarreal	12	3	5	4	+2	14
12	Cadiz	12	3	3	6	-9	12
13	Granada	13	1	6	6	-9	9
14	Elche	14	2	3	9	-12	9
15	Mallorca	12	2	2	8	-17	8
16	Espanol	12	1	4	7	-8	7
17	Getafe	13	0	6	7	-10	6
18	Levante	13	1	3	9	-18	6
19	Alaves	13	1	3	9	-18	6
20	Vallecano	12	1	2	9	-13	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.