Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Tottenham
Sheffield United
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +8 | +4.3 | 13 |
| 2 |
Man City
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +9 | +6.3 | 12 |
| 3 |
Tottenham
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +7 | +1.0 | 10 |
| 4 |
West Ham
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | +0.3 | 10 |
| 5 |
Arsenal
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | +4.6 | 10 |
| 6 |
Brighton
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +6 | +0.9 | 9 |
| 7 |
Crystal Palace
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | +1.1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Brentford
|
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +3 | +5.4 | 6 |
| 9 |
Nott'm Forest
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +0 | -1.9 | 6 |
| 10 |
Aston Villa
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +0.9 | 6 |
| 11 |
Man United
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +0.5 | 6 |
| 12 |
Chelsea
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +0 | +4.1 | 4 |
| 13 |
Fulham
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -6 | -8.2 | 4 |
| 14 |
Newcastle
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +0 | +1.9 | 3 |
| 15 |
Wolves
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -6 | -3.0 | 3 |
| 16 |
Bournemouth
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | -3.7 | 2 |
| 17 |
Sheffield United
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | -6.6 | 1 |
| 18 |
Everton
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | +0.5 | 1 |
| 19 |
Luton
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | -3.9 | 0 |
| 20 |
Burnley
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8 | -4.6 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
G. Vicario
G
Pedro Porro
D
C. Romero
D
M. van de Ven
D
D. Udogie
D
P. Sarr
M
J. Maddison
M
M. Solomon
M
Coach: A. Postecoglou
A. Ahmedhodžić
D
J. Bogle
M
G. Hamer
M
Vinicius Souza
M
J. McAtee
M
O. McBurnie
F
C. Archer
F
Coach: P. Heckingbottom
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Burnley
Tottenham
Fulham
Tottenham
Bournemouth
Tottenham
Tottenham
Man United
Brentford
Tottenham
P Bankes · 156 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.