La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Las Palmas
Ath Bilbao
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | +38 | +24.4 | 66 |
| 2 |
Girona
|
28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | +26 | +10.1 | 62 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | +23 | +33.0 | 61 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | +23 | +19.3 | 55 |
| 5 |
Ath Bilbao
|
27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | +20 | +15.3 | 50 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | +9 | +4.5 | 43 |
| 7 |
Betis
|
27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | +4 | -3.6 | 42 |
| 8 |
Valencia
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +1 | -3.1 | 40 |
| 9 |
Las Palmas
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +0 | -16.6 | 37 |
| 10 |
Osasuna
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -8 | -6.0 | 36 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | -6 | -6.9 | 35 |
| 12 |
Villarreal
|
27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -6 | -3.9 | 32 |
| 13 |
Alaves
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -7 | +1.6 | 32 |
| 14 |
Sevilla
|
27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -7 | -11.4 | 27 |
| 15 |
Mallorca
|
28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | -11 | -6.0 | 27 |
| 16 |
Vallecano
|
28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -15 | -4.4 | 26 |
| 17 |
Celta
|
27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -9 | -5.0 | 24 |
| 18 |
Cadiz
|
28 | 3 | 13 | 12 | -18 | -14.3 | 22 |
| 19 |
Granada
|
27 | 2 | 8 | 17 | -27 | -15.2 | 14 |
| 20 |
Almeria
|
27 | 0 | 9 | 18 | -30 | -11.9 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Álvaro Valles
G
Saul Coco
D
Mika Mármol
D
Sergi Cardona
D
Munir El Haddadi
M
Javier Muñoz
M
Kirian Rodríguez
M
Sandro Ramírez
M
Alberto Moleiro
F
Coach: García Pimienta
Unai Simón
G
Aitor Paredes
D
Yuri Berchiche
D
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
M
Beñat Prados
M
Iñaki Williams
M
Oihan Sancet
M
Nico Williams
M
Gorka Guruzeta
F
Coach: Ernesto Valverde
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Getafe
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
Osasuna
Ath Madrid
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
Valencia
Granada
Las Palmas
Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias · 33 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.