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Serie A

Referee: F Fourneau

Fiorentina

S S T T U

3–2

Full-time

Udinese

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Udinese

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,2

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

75%

25%

Both score Ø 50%

75%

25%

Average goals

3,8

2,3

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

44% Possession 56%

4 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 7

1 Offside 7

16 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 14. · Udinese 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	Milan	4	4	0	0	+8	12
3	Sassuolo	5	3	2	0	+7	11
4	Inter	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Atalanta	5	3	0	2	+3	9
6	Sampdoria	5	3	0	2	+2	9
7	Verona	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Roma	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Cagliari	5	2	1	2	-2	7
10	Lazio	5	2	1	2	-3	7
11	Benevento	5	2	0	3	-5	6
12	Juventus	3	1	2	0	+3	5
13	Spezia	5	1	2	2	-4	5
14	Fiorentina	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Genoa	4	1	1	2	-5	4
17	Bologna	5	1	0	4	-2	3
18	Udinese	4	1	0	3	-3	3
19	Torino	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Crotone	5	0	1	4	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Verona	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Milan	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Sassuolo	3	1	2	0	+3	5
5	Roma	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Parma	3	1	1	1	-1	4
7	Lazio	3	1	1	1	-2	4
8	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Genoa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Inter	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Udinese	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Benevento	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Crotone	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-3	1
20	Torino	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Milan	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Sampdoria	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Spezia	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Cagliari	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Lazio	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Roma	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Juventus	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Torino	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-6	1
16	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Parma	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Bologna	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Crotone	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.