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Ligue 2

Referee: A Perreau Niel

Bastia

U S S T T

1–1

Full-time

Guingamp

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 39%

43%

35%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

26%

48%

Both score Ø 39%

26%

52%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

16 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 1

13 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 7. · Guingamp 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	23	13	9	1	+23	48
2	Bordeaux	24	12	6	6	+14	42
3	Sochaux	23	12	4	7	+16	40
4	Metz	23	10	7	6	+11	37
5	Grenoble	23	10	7	6	+5	37
6	Quevilly Rouen	23	9	7	7	+3	34
7	Bastia	23	10	4	9	-3	34
8	Caen	23	8	9	6	+3	33
9	Amiens	22	9	6	7	+2	33
10	Guingamp	23	8	6	9	-3	30
11	Annecy	23	7	8	8	+2	29
12	Valenciennes	23	7	8	8	-5	29
13	Paris FC	23	7	7	9	-6	28
14	Laval	23	8	4	11	-7	28
15	St Etienne	23	7	6	10	-5	27
16	Pau FC	23	6	9	8	-7	27
17	Nimes	23	6	5	12	-11	23
18	Niort	23	6	5	12	-14	23
19	Dijon	23	5	6	12	-8	21
20	Rodez	23	4	9	10	-10	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	11	7	4	0	+12	25
2	Sochaux	12	7	3	2	+13	24
3	Bordeaux	12	7	3	2	+9	24
4	Caen	11	6	4	1	+10	22
5	Bastia	12	7	1	4	+4	22
6	Valenciennes	11	5	6	0	+6	21
7	Grenoble	12	6	3	3	+3	21
8	Metz	12	5	5	2	+5	20
9	Quevilly Rouen	11	5	4	2	+6	19
10	Amiens	11	5	3	3	+3	18
11	St Etienne	12	5	3	4	+0	18
12	Laval	12	5	2	5	+1	17
13	Annecy	11	5	2	4	+1	17
14	Dijon	12	4	4	4	+0	16
15	Nimes	11	5	1	5	-2	16
16	Pau FC	11	3	5	3	-3	14
17	Niort	12	4	2	6	-6	14
18	Guingamp	12	3	3	6	-4	12
19	Paris FC	10	2	3	5	-6	9
20	Rodez	12	1	5	6	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	12	6	5	1	+11	23
2	Paris FC	13	5	4	4	+0	19
3	Bordeaux	12	5	3	4	+5	18
4	Guingamp	11	5	3	3	+1	18
5	Metz	11	5	2	4	+6	17
6	Sochaux	11	5	1	5	+3	16
7	Grenoble	11	4	4	3	+2	16
8	Amiens	11	4	3	4	-1	15
9	Quevilly Rouen	12	4	3	5	-3	15
10	Rodez	11	3	4	4	-1	13
11	Pau FC	12	3	4	5	-4	13
12	Annecy	12	2	6	4	+1	12
13	Bastia	11	3	3	5	-7	12
14	Caen	12	2	5	5	-7	11
15	Laval	11	3	2	6	-8	11
16	St Etienne	11	2	3	6	-5	9
17	Niort	11	2	3	6	-8	9
18	Valenciennes	12	2	2	8	-11	8
19	Nimes	12	1	4	7	-9	7
20	Dijon	11	1	2	8	-8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.