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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Hibernian
S U S U S
2–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,2
This season — Premiership · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 32%
40%
24%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
56%
52%
Both score Ø 44%
44%
44%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%
20 Shots 9
11 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
8 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hibernian 5. · Kilmarnock 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 25 23 1 1 +60 70
2 Rangers 25 19 4 2 +35 61
3 Hearts 25 12 6 7 +10 42
4 Livingston 24 10 5 9 -7 35
5 Hibernian 25 10 4 11 -1 34
6 St Mirren 25 9 6 10 -8 33
7 Aberdeen 25 10 2 13 -8 32
8 ST Johnstone 25 8 3 14 -13 27
9 Motherwell 25 6 5 14 -10 23
10 Kilmarnock 25 6 5 14 -23 23
11 Ross County 25 5 6 14 -18 21
12 Dundee United 24 5 5 14 -17 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Nov -22 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 1–0 3. Sep -22 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 1–0 16. Jan -21 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 2–0 24. Oct -20 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 0–1 1. Aug -20 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 2–1

Match report

Hibernian Kilmarnock
1–0 W. Fish ⚽
A. McGeady
16′
M. Hoppe 🔁
↦ A. McGeady
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 L. Polworth
↦ B. Alston
46′
🔁 S. Robinson
↦ Jordan Jones
46′
🔁 A. Taylor
↦ C. Stokes
2–0 M. Hoppe ⚽
47′
K. Magennis 🔁
↦ E. Henderson
63′
67′
ℹ️ Kyle Vassell
VAR: Card upgrade
68′
🟥 Kyle Vassell
77′
🔁 R. Alebiosu
↦ D. Armstrong
Marijan Čabraja 🟨
81′
L. Miller 🔁
↦ M. Čabraja
83′
J. Doyle-Hayes 🔁
↦ J. Jeggo
83′
Jair Tavares 🔁
↦ C. Cadden
83′
85′
🔁 A. Power
↦ B. Lyons
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
1 D. Marshall G
12 C. Cadden D
25 W. Fish D
4 P. Hanlon D
3 M. Čabraja D
26 C. Egan-Riley M
14 J. Jeggo M
18 E. Henderson M
32 J. Campbell M
46 A. McGeady M
23 É. Youan F
Bench (9)
13 M. Hoppe
7 K. Magennis
2 L. Miller
8 J. Doyle-Hayes
10 Jair Tavares
39 J. O'Connor
31 M. Johnson
16 L. Stevenson
37 O. MacIntyre

Coach: L. Johnson

Kilmarnock

4-5-1
20 S. Walker G
2 L. Mayo D
19 J. Wright D
6 C. Stokes D
24 L. Chambers D
11 D. Armstrong M
17 B. Lyons M
8 B. Alston M
10 Jordan Jones M
7 R. McKenzie M
23 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
31 L. Polworth
16 S. Robinson
5 A. Taylor
25 R. Alebiosu
4 A. Power
29 B. Wales
21 K. McInroy
1 Z. Hemming
15 F. Murray

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
🔒
U
3,70
🔒
B
4,56
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,99
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,80
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.