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Ekstraklasa
Referee: B Frankowski
Korona Kielce
T T T S U
1–0
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Lechia Gdansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Ekstraklasa · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 25%
20%
30%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
45%
65%
Both score Ø 58%
65%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
20 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Korona Kielce 17. · Lechia Gdansk 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 20 14 4 2 +24 46
2 Legia 20 11 6 3 +7 39
3 Lech Poznan 20 10 6 4 +7 36
4 Widzew Lodz 21 10 5 6 +6 35
5 Cracovia 21 9 5 7 +8 32
6 Pogon Szczecin 20 8 6 6 +0 30
7 Stal Mielec 21 8 5 8 +1 29
8 Wisla Plock 19 8 4 7 +3 28
9 Radomiak Radom 20 8 4 8 -1 28
10 Warta Poznan 19 7 6 6 +2 27
11 Slask Wroclaw 21 6 7 8 -7 25
12 Jagiellonia 20 5 8 7 +1 23
13 Gornik Zabrze 20 5 7 8 -4 22
14 Lechia Gdansk 20 6 4 10 -11 22
15 Piast Gliwice 20 5 5 10 -3 20
16 Zaglebie 20 5 5 10 -14 20
17 Korona Kielce 20 4 5 11 -9 17
18 Legnica 20 3 6 11 -10 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Korona Kielce Lechia Gdansk
1–0 R. Deaconu
Nono
37′
Kyrylo Petrov 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 K. Friesenbichler
↦ İ. Durmuş
57′
🔁 M. Terrazzino
↦ K. Tobers
Kyrylo Petrov 🟨
60′
Kyrylo Petrov 🟥
60′
J. Podgórski 🔁
↦ D. Błanik
66′
D. Takáč 🔁
↦ R. Deaconu
66′
68′
🔁 Flávio Paixão
↦ M. Gajos
M. Godinho 🔁
↦ E. Shikavka
73′
A. Deja 🔁
↦ Nono
73′
77′
🟨 Jarosław Kubicki
Marcel Zapytowski 🟨
79′
K. Kostorz 🔁
↦ J. Łukowski
85′
85′
🔁 D. Piła
↦ Conrado
85′
🔁 K. Sezonienko
↦ J. Bartkowski
Marcus Godinho 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Korona Kielce

4-1-4-1
73 M. Zapytowski G
2 D. Zator D
4 P. Malarczyk D
66 M. Trojak D
5 M. Briceag D
90 K. Petrov M
17 D. Błanik M
13 R. Deaconu M
11 Nono M
7 J. Łukowski M
99 E. Shikavka F
Bench (9)
6 J. Podgórski
8 D. Takáč
28 M. Godinho
22 A. Deja
9 K. Kostorz
23 A. Danek
1 K. Forenc
19 J. Konstantyn
10 J. Kiełb

Coach: K. Kuzera

Lechia Gdansk

4-1-4-1
12 D. Kuciak G
5 J. Bartkowski D
25 M. Nalepa D
23 M. Maloča D
2 R. Pietrzak D
4 K. Tobers M
99 İ. Durmuş M
6 J. Kubicki M
7 M. Gajos M
20 Conrado M
9 L. Zwoliński F
Bench (9)
30 K. Friesenbichler
33 M. Terrazzino
28 Flávio Paixão
11 D. Piła
79 K. Sezonienko
88 J. Kałuziński
69 J. Biegański
97 J. Abu Hanna
1 M. Buchalik

Coach: M. Kaczmarek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Frankowski · 85 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.