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La Liga

Referee: José Munuera

Osasuna

U S T U U

0–2

Full-time

Real Madrid

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 55%

38%

71%

Points per game

1,4

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

24%

62%

Both score Ø 53%

43%

62%

Average goals

1,8

2,9

Scored

0,9

2,1

Conceded

0,9

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,50 xG 1,33

47% Possession 53%

11 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 5

17 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Osasuna 10. · Real Madrid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	21	18	2	1	+36	+3.9	56
2	Real Madrid	21	15	3	3	+27	+7.2	48
3	Sociedad	22	13	4	5	+10	+0.5	43
4	Ath Madrid	21	11	5	5	+13	+3.7	38
5	Betis	22	11	4	7	+6	+1.8	37
6	Vallecano	21	9	6	6	+5	+0.1	33
7	Ath Bilbao	21	9	5	7	+9	-0.5	32
8	Villarreal	22	9	4	9	+2	-0.8	31
9	Mallorca	22	9	4	9	-2	-3.1	31
10	Osasuna	21	8	6	7	+0	-3.8	30
11	Girona	22	7	6	9	+0	-0.3	27
12	Sevilla	21	6	6	9	-6	+3.5	24
13	Celta	22	6	6	10	-11	-0.9	24
14	Valladolid	22	7	3	12	-14	-3.7	24
15	Almeria	22	6	4	12	-13	-0.5	22
16	Cadiz	21	5	7	9	-16	+0.1	22
17	Espanol	21	4	9	8	-7	+0.5	21
18	Valencia	21	5	5	11	+0	-2.8	20
19	Getafe	21	4	7	10	-10	-1.1	19
20	Elche	21	1	6	14	-29	-3.9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	8	2	0	+21	+2.2	26
2	Real Madrid	10	7	3	0	+15	+6.5	24
3	Girona	12	6	3	3	+6	+2.5	21
4	Ath Bilbao	11	6	2	3	+9	+0.4	20
5	Betis	11	6	2	3	+6	+1.7	20
6	Mallorca	11	6	2	3	+4	+0.4	20
7	Villarreal	10	6	1	3	+6	+1.7	19
8	Almeria	11	6	1	4	+4	+1.0	19
9	Osasuna	10	6	0	4	+3	-1.4	18
10	Sociedad	11	5	3	3	+1	+0.3	18
11	Vallecano	10	5	2	3	+4	-0.9	17
12	Valladolid	11	5	2	4	+0	+1.0	17
13	Ath Madrid	10	4	3	3	+5	+2.4	15
14	Sevilla	11	4	3	4	+0	+6.1	15
15	Valencia	11	4	2	5	+6	+0.9	14
16	Cadiz	11	3	5	3	-4	+2.0	14
17	Celta	11	3	4	4	-1	+0.5	13
18	Getafe	11	2	4	5	-4	-2.0	10
19	Espanol	11	2	4	5	-5	+1.9	10
20	Elche	10	1	3	6	-8	+2.2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	10	0	1	+15	+1.7	30
2	Sociedad	11	8	1	2	+9	+0.2	25
3	Real Madrid	11	8	0	3	+12	+0.6	24
4	Ath Madrid	11	7	2	2	+8	+1.3	23
5	Betis	11	5	2	4	+0	+0.1	17
6	Vallecano	11	4	4	3	+1	+1.0	16
7	Ath Bilbao	10	3	3	4	+0	-0.8	12
8	Osasuna	11	2	6	3	-3	-2.4	12
9	Villarreal	12	3	3	6	-4	-2.5	12
10	Espanol	10	2	5	3	-2	-1.3	11
11	Mallorca	11	3	2	6	-6	-3.4	11
12	Celta	11	3	2	6	-10	-1.4	11
13	Sevilla	10	2	3	5	-6	-2.5	9
14	Getafe	10	2	3	5	-6	+0.8	9
15	Cadiz	10	2	2	6	-12	-1.9	8
16	Valladolid	11	2	1	8	-14	-4.8	7
17	Girona	10	1	3	6	-6	-2.8	6
18	Valencia	10	1	3	6	-6	-3.6	6
19	Almeria	11	0	3	8	-17	-1.5	3
20	Elche	11	0	3	8	-21	-6.2	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.