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Serie B
Referee: G Manganiello
Benevento
U T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Brescia
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benevento Brescia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,5
0,3
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,5
This season — Serie B · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 23%
21%
25%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
29%
33%
Both score Ø 48%
50%
46%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
9 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Benevento 19. · Brescia 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 24 17 3 4 +26 54
2 Genoa 24 12 7 5 +9 43
3 Bari 24 10 9 5 +14 39
4 Reggina 24 12 3 9 +10 39
5 Sudtirol 24 10 9 5 +1 39
6 Pisa 25 8 11 6 +10 35
7 Cagliari 24 9 8 7 +2 35
8 Parma 24 9 7 8 +4 34
9 Modena 24 10 4 10 +3 34
10 Palermo 24 9 7 8 -2 34
11 Ternana 24 9 7 8 -3 34
12 Ascoli 24 7 8 9 -3 29
13 Venezia 25 7 7 11 -5 28
14 Como 24 6 9 9 -8 27
15 Cittadella 24 6 9 9 -10 27
16 Perugia 24 7 5 12 -5 26
17 Brescia 24 6 7 11 -15 25
18 Spal 24 5 9 10 -4 24
19 Benevento 24 5 8 11 -7 23
20 Cosenza 24 5 7 12 -17 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Benevento Brescia
Half-time 0–0
N. Manfredini 🔁
↦ A. Paleari
46′
1–0 A. Tello
R. Improta
48′
58′
🔁 F. Bianchi
↦ J. Björkengren
G. Letizia 🔁
↦ D. Foulon
63′
I. Koutsoupias 🔁
↦ G. Acampora
69′
S. Nwankwo 🔁
↦ A. La Gumina
70′
Hamza El Kaouakibi 🟨
71′
74′
🔁 G. Olzer
↦ N. Galazzi
K. Kubica 🔁
↦ M. Viviani
75′
82′
🔁 A. Jallow
↦ F. Karačić
82′
🔁 J. Łabojko
↦ T. van de Looi
Ilias Koutsoupias 🟨
90′
Gaetano Letizia 🟨
91′
Krzysztof Kubica 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Benevento

4-4-2
21 A. Paleari G
2 H. El Kaouakibi D
55 F. Veseli D
31 A. Toșca D
18 D. Foulon D
4 G. Acampora M
7 N. Karić M
24 M. Viviani M
16 R. Improta M
8 A. Tello F
20 A. La Gumina F
Bench (11)
12 N. Manfredini
3 G. Letizia
80 I. Koutsoupias
25 S. Nwankwo
6 K. Kubica
11 R. Jureškin
33 M. Leverbe
36 F. Perlingieri
58 C. Pastina
27 P. Schiattarella
22 I. Lucatelli

Coach: R. Stellone

Brescia

4-2-3-1
1 L. Andrenacci G
2 F. Karačić D
32 A. Papetti D
4 D. Adorni D
3 M. Huard D
25 D. Bisoli M
5 T. van de Looi M
23 J. Björkengren M
8 E. Ndoj M
6 N. Galazzi M
11 F. Ayé F
Bench (10)
24 F. Bianchi
27 G. Olzer
18 A. Jallow
21 J. Łabojko
28 A. Coeff
30 F. Pace
20 R. Niemeijer
31 M. Scavone
29 M. Listkowski
12 L. Lezzerini

Coach: D. Possanzini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,07
U
3,20
B
3,76
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,25
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Manganiello · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.