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Serie A
Referee: P Tremolada
Lazio
S U S U U
3–1
Full-time
Venezia
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Venezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,39 xG 0,62
67% Possession 33%
13 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Mar -22 Lazio – Venezia 1–0 22. Dec -21 Venezia – Lazio 1–3

Match report

Lazio Venezia
3′
⚽ M. Kofod Andersen 0–1
M. Ellertsson
1–1 V. Castellanos ⚽
11′
32′
🟨 Richie Sagrado
2–1 M. Zaccagni ⚽
44′
Half-time 2–1
Valentín Castellanos 🟨
52′
53′
🔁 R. Haps
↦ R. Sagrado
53′
🔁 N. Pierini
↦ G. Oristanio
M. Vecino 🔁
↦ N. Rovella
65′
70′
🔁 D. Črnigoj
↦ M. Ellertsson
71′
🟨 Ridgeciano Haps
G. Isaksen 🔁
↦ T. Noslin
77′
L. Tchaouna 🔁
↦ M. Zaccagni
77′
2–2 G. Altare ⚽
own goal
81′
85′
🔁 N. Lella
↦ M. Kofod Andersen
86′
🔁 A. Raimondo
↦ C. Gytkjær
Pedro 🔁
↦ V. Castellanos
87′
G. Castrovilli 🔁
↦ M. Guendouzi
87′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Lazio

4-3-3
94 I. Provedel G
29 M. Lazzari D
15 N. Casale D
13 A. Romagnoli D
77 A. Marušić D
8 M. Guendouzi M
6 N. Rovella M
7 F. Dele-Bashiru M
14 T. Noslin F
11 V. Castellanos F
10 M. Zaccagni F
Bench (13)
5 M. Vecino
18 G. Isaksen
20 L. Tchaouna
9 Pedro
22 G. Castrovilli
30 Nuno Tavares
23 E. Hysaj
4 Patric
3 L. Pellegrini
35 C. Mandas
55 A. Furlanetto
32 D. Cataldi
19 B. Dia

Coach: M. Baroni

Venezia

3-4-2-1
1 J. Joronen G
15 G. Altare D
30 M. Svoboda D
33 M. Šverko D
21 R. Sagrado M
32 A. Duncan M
38 M. Kofod Andersen M
7 F. Zampano M
11 G. Oristanio F
77 M. Ellertsson F
9 C. Gytkjær F
Bench (9)
5 R. Haps
10 N. Pierini
22 D. Črnigoj
24 N. Lella
45 A. Raimondo
44 L. Lucchesi
97 I. Doumbia
35 F. Stanković
23 M. Grandi

Coach: E. Di Francesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,47
🔒
U
4,41
🔒
B
7,05
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,85
🔒
U2,5
1,98
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

P Tremolada · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.