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DFB-Pokal
Referee: F Heft
Regensburg
T U S T S
1–0
Full-time
Bochum
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Regensburg Bochum
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
4,7
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,7
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%
18 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Bielefeld 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Greuther Furth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 St Pauli 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Wurzburger Kickers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Hoffenheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Alemannia Aachen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 FC Ingolstadt 04 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Greifswalder FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -2 0
25 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
26 Hannover 1 0 0 1 -2 0
27 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
28 VfR Aalen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
29 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
30 Viktoria Berlin 1 0 0 1 -3 0
31 Phönix Lübeck 1 0 0 1 -3 0
32 Osnabruck 1 0 0 1 -4 0
33 Ulm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
34 FC 08 Villingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Regensburg Bochum
41′
🟨 Noah Loosli
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Lukas Daschner
60′
🟨 Ibrahima Sissoko
67′
🟨 Philipp Hofmann
1–0 F. Ballas
D. Kother
70′
71′
🔁 A. Elezi
↦ L. Daschner
71′
🔁 M. Boadu
↦ A. Losilla
M. Ouro-Tagba 🔁
↦ C. Kühlwetter
73′
Oscar Schönfelder 🟨
76′
77′
🔁 T. Oermann
↦ E. Mašović
R. Bulić 🔁
↦ A. Geipl
83′
N. Ganaus 🔁
↦ D. Kother
83′
85′
🟨 Myron Boadu
86′
🔁 S. Bamba
↦ M. Broschinski
92′
🟨 Maximilian Wittek
N. Ochojski 🔁
↦ K. Pröger
92′
95′
🟨 Matúš Bero
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Regensburg

4-2-3-1
1 F. Gebhardt G
14 R. Ziegele D
4 F. Ballas D
16 L. Breunig D
7 O. Schönfelder D
15 S. Ernst M
8 A. Geipl M
33 K. Pröger M
10 C. Viet M
27 D. Kother M
30 C. Kühlwetter F
Bench (9)
40 M. Ouro-Tagba
5 R. Bulić
20 N. Ganaus
11 N. Ochojski
3 B. Hein
32 A. Weidinger
6 B. Saller
13 A. Bittroff
25 J. Bauer

Coach: J. Enochs

Bochum

4-3-1-2
27 P. Drewes G
15 F. Passlack D
41 N. Loosli D
4 E. Mašović D
32 M. Wittek D
8 A. Losilla M
6 I. Sissoko M
19 M. Bero M
7 L. Daschner M
29 M. Broschinski F
33 P. Hofmann F
Bench (9)
17 A. Elezi
9 M. Boadu
14 T. Oermann
18 S. Bamba
24 M. Pannewig
21 G. Holtmann
2 C. Gamboa
1 T. Horn
16 N. Jahn

Coach: P. Zeidler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Heft · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.