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Championship

Referee: D Whitestone

Sunderland

T T T S T

4–0

Full-time

Sheffield Weds

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland Sheffield Weds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,5

3,0

Scored

0,5

2,5

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Championship · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

4,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,67 xG 0,38

51% Possession 49%

15 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 8

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sunderland 9. · Sheffield Weds 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Burnley	2	2	0	0	+8	+0.2	6
2	Watford	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.5	6
3	Blackburn	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.2	4
4	Sheffield United	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.4	4
5	West Brom	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.6	4
6	Bristol City	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
7	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+4	+4.4	3
8	Swansea	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.7	3
9	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
10	Oxford	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.9	3
11	Coventry	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.8	3
12	Middlesbrough	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.9	3
13	Derby	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.5	3
14	Stoke	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.2	3
15	Leeds	2	0	2	0	+0	+2.5	2
16	Portsmouth	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.5	2
17	Hull	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.5	2
18	QPR	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.7	1
19	Norwich	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.1	1
20	Luton	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.0	1
21	Plymouth	2	0	1	1	-4	-4.6	1
22	Millwall	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.4	0
23	Preston	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.0	0
24	Cardiff	2	0	0	2	-7	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.2	3
2	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+4	+4.4	3
3	Watford	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.4	3
4	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
5	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
6	Oxford	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
7	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
8	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
9	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.4	3
10	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
11	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
12	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.5	1
13	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
14	Sheffield United	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
15	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
16	Plymouth	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
17	West Brom	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
18	Portsmouth	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
19	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
20	QPR	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.6	0
21	Preston	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
22	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
23	Luton	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.0	3
2	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
3	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
4	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
5	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.9	3
6	Portsmouth	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.5	1
7	Blackburn	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
8	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.0	1
9	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
10	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
11	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
12	Luton	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
13	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
14	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.0	0
15	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.4	0
16	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
17	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
18	Derby	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
19	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
20	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.4	0
21	Preston	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0
22	Plymouth	1	0	0	1	-4	-4.4	0
23	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-5	-0.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.