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DFB-Pokal

Referee: K Oldhfer

Sportfreunde Lotte

0–5

Full-time

Karlsruhe

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

49% Possession 51%

11 Shots 19

0 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Wurzburger Kickers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Alemannia Aachen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Greifswalder FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	VfR Aalen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Phönix Lübeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
42	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Ulm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-4	0
45	FC 08 Villingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
46	Borussia Hildesheim	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Wurzburger Kickers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Alemannia Aachen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Greifswalder FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	VfR Aalen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Phönix Lübeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Ulm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
21	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-4	0
22	FC 08 Villingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
23	Borussia Hildesheim	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sportfreunde Lotte Karlsruhe

2′

⚽ D. Herold 0–1

L. Jensen

21′

⚽ M. Wanitzek 0–2

B. Zivzivadze

45′

🟨 Robin Heußer

Half-time 0–2

F. Mensing 🔁

↦ B. Nyuydine

46′

F. Ufuk 🔁

↦ L. Brodersen

46′

49′

⚽ J. Sabah 1–2

own goal

Philip Fontein 🟨

52′

S. Addai 🔁

↦ K. Krasniqi

62′

N. Determann 🔁

↦ P. Fontein

62′

65′

🔁 C. Kobald

↦ M. Franke

65′

🔁 R. Geller

↦ L. Jensen

66′

🔁 B. Conté

↦ D. Burnić

69′

⚽ B. Zivzivadze 1–3

B. Conté

71′

🔁 N. Rupp

↦ F. Schleusener

72′

🔁 A. Hunziker

↦ B. Zivzivadze

L. Spit 🔁

↦ M. Heider

76′

82′

⚽ B. Conté 1–4

A. Hunziker

Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Sportfreunde Lotte

3-4-3

12 L. Beckemeyer G

5 J. Mensah D

8 J. Sabah D

25 N. Lübke D

19 L. Brodersen M

10 F. Elezi M

17 K. Krasniqi M

11 B. Nyuydine M

4 P. Fontein F

20 M. Heider F

16 N. Thier F

Bench (9)

26 F. Mensing

24 F. Ufuk

29 S. Addai

6 N. Determann

7 L. Spit

1 S. Westphal

39 F. Wendt

31 K. Holzweiler

37 A. Thaqi

Coach: F. Lübbers

Karlsruhe

4-4-2

M. Weiß G

S. Jung D

M. Franke D

4 M. Beifus D

D. Herold D

D. Burnić M

5 R. Heußer M

L. Jensen M

M. Wanitzek M

B. Zivzivadze F

24 F. Schleusener F

Bench (9)

22 C. Kobald

35 R. Geller

31 B. Conté

8 N. Rupp

9 A. Hunziker

29 L. Günther

17 N. Rapp

26 B. Bauer

30 R. Himmelmann

Coach: C. Eichner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

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The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Sportfreunde Lotte

Karlsruhe

Odds comparison

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