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DFB-Pokal
Referee: M Speckner
Bremer Sv
T
0–4
Full-time
Paderborn
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bremer Sv Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
5,0
3,3
Scored
0,0
2,2
Conceded
5,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-5,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

36% Possession 64%
10 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Bielefeld 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Greuther Furth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 St Pauli 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Wurzburger Kickers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Hoffenheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Alemannia Aachen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 FC Ingolstadt 04 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Greifswalder FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -2 0
25 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
26 Hannover 1 0 0 1 -2 0
27 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
28 VfR Aalen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
29 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
30 Viktoria Berlin 1 0 0 1 -3 0
31 Phönix Lübeck 1 0 0 1 -3 0
32 Osnabruck 1 0 0 1 -4 0
33 Ulm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
34 FC 08 Villingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bremer Sv Paderborn
Maximilian Schutt 🟨
17′
21′
⚽ A. Grimaldi 0–1
Jonas Kuhl 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–2
51′
⚽ S. Castañeda 0–2
52′
⚽ S. Michel 0–3
J. Warm 🔁
↦ S. Yamada
54′
S. Nankishi 🔁
↦ B. Kasper
55′
58′
⚽ A. Grimaldi 0–4
A. Zehnter
62′
🔁 F. Bilbija
↦ S. Michel
62′
🔁 I. Ansah
↦ A. Grimaldi
72′
🔁 D. Kinsombi
↦ S. Klaas
72′
🔁 L. Curda
↦ R. Obermair
Nikky Goguadze 🟨
75′
V. Tunc 🔁
↦ A. Diedhiou
79′
81′
🔁 M. Baur
↦ L. Herrmann
86′
🟨 Santiago Castaneda
F. Kleiner 🔁
↦ M. Degirmenci
87′
J. Faltyn 🔁
↦ M. Schütt
87′
Justin Gröger 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Bremer Sv

5-3-2
24 P. Wiewrodt G
16 S. Yamada D
23 M. Schütt D
2 J. Gröger D
3 T. Miyamoto D
19 M. Degirmenci D
32 B. Kasper M
6 J. Kühl M
13 J. Bretgeld M
18 A. Diedhiou F
30 N. Goguadze F
Bench (9)
27 J. Warm
11 S. Nankishi
10 V. Tunc
7 F. Kleiner
5 J. Faltyn
9 L. Mittelstädt
17 L. Schmidt
37 A. Assaf
22 T. Duffner

Coach: S. Kmieć

Paderborn

3-4-1-2
30 M. Schubert G
33 M. Hoffmeier D
20 F. Götze D
4 C. Brackelmann D
23 R. Obermair M
19 L. Herrmann M
5 S. Castañeda M
32 A. Zehnter M
26 S. Klaas F
39 A. Grimaldi F
11 S. Michel F
Bench (9)
7 F. Bilbija
29 I. Ansah
8 D. Kinsombi
17 L. Curda
9 M. Baur
25 T. Scheller
16 V. Musliu
1 P. Boevink
10 K. Kostons

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.