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Ligue 1
Referee: M Vernice
Montpellier
S U S T U
1–1
Full-time
Strasbourg
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,41 xG 0,91
42% Possession 58%
7 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
20 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Mar -24 Montpellier – Strasbourg 2–2 17. Sep -23 Strasbourg – Montpellier 2–2 5. Feb -23 Strasbourg – Montpellier 2–0 17. Sep -22 Montpellier – Strasbourg 2–1 16. Jan -22 Strasbourg – Montpellier 3–1

Match report

Montpellier Strasbourg
Jordan Ferri 🟨
21′
27′
🟨 Abakar Sylla
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Diego Moreira
↦ P. Diong
46′
🔁 M. Senaya
↦ A. Sylla
Modibo Sagnan 🟨
52′
58′
⚽ H. Diarra 0–1
I. Doukouré
1–1 T. Savanier ⚽
67′
Arnaud Nordin 🟨
78′
O. Maamma 🔁
↦ A. Adams
80′
81′
🔁 N. Kandil
↦ H. Diarra
82′
🟨 Ismael Doukoure
86′
🔁 K. Fila
↦ I. Doukouré
T. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ A. Nordin
88′
Mousa Al-Taamari 🟨
92′
94′
🔁 J. Sebas
↦ C. Wiley
98′
🟨 Karol Fila
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
40 B. Lecomte G
29 E. Tchato D
27 B. Omeragić D
5 M. Sagnan D
77 F. Sacko D
13 J. Chotard M
12 J. Ferri M
7 A. Nordin M
11 T. Savanier M
9 Mousa Al Ta'mari M
8 A. Adams F
Bench (9)
14 O. Maamma
70 T. Coulibaly
15 G. Barès
44 T. Chennahi
4 K. Kouyaté
16 D. Bertaud
28 G. Ngosso
45 S. Džodić
39 Y. Issoufou

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Strasbourg

3-4-2-1
30 K. Johnsson G
22 G. Doué D
13 S. Sow D
24 A. Sylla D
26 D. Bakwa M
18 J. Mwanga M
29 I. Doukouré M
12 C. Wiley M
19 H. Diarra F
17 P. Diong F
10 E. Emegha F
Bench (11)
7 Diego Moreira
28 M. Senaya
21 N. Kandil
4 K. Fila
40 J. Sebas
35 T. Diallo
16 R. Risser
77 E. Sobol
41 R. Nzingoula
20 Ó. Perea
60 R. Tutu Mayangila

Coach: L. Rosenior

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,08
🔒
U ✓
3,39
🔒
B
3,64
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,96
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,87
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Vernice · 76 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.