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Superligaen
Referee: J Sundberg
Aalborg
T T S T S
0–4
Full-time
Brondby
U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalborg Brondby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,09 xG 2,60
33% Possession 67%
12 Shots 25
3 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 8
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 10
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalborg 8. · Brondby 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Silkeborg 5 4 0 1 +6 +2.1 12
2 Midtjylland 5 3 2 0 +5 +3.6 11
3 FC Copenhagen 5 3 2 0 +5 +4.4 11
4 Nordsjaelland 5 2 2 1 +1 +3.8 8
5 Aarhus 4 2 1 1 +4 -0.3 7
6 Brondby 4 2 1 1 +2 +3.1 7
7 Randers FC 5 2 1 2 +0 +0.2 7
8 Aalborg 4 2 0 2 -3 -2.2 6
9 Sonderjyske 5 1 1 3 -6 -5.5 4
10 Viborg 5 0 2 3 -4 -2.7 2
11 Lyngby 5 0 2 3 -5 -2.5 2
12 Vejle 4 0 0 4 -5 -4.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalborg Brondby
Mylian Jimenez 🟨
21′
Kasper Davidsen 🟨
22′
33′
M. Kvistgaarden 0–1
36′
F. Bundgaard 0–2
S. Klaiber
Half-time 0–2
J. Iredale 🔁
↦ K. Davidsen
46′
53′
🟨 Filip Bundgaard
56′
F. Bundgaard 0–3
C. Bischoff
N. Arnórsson 🔁
↦ K. Jørgensen
60′
N. Helenius 🔁
↦ M. Jiménez
60′
68′
🔁 M. Divković
↦ F. Bundgaard
69′
🔁 M. Greve
↦ C. Bischoff
M. Bomholt 🔁
↦ O. Ross
72′
80′
🔁 O. Omoijuanfo
↦ M. Kvistgaarden
84′
🔁 J. Radošević
↦ N. Nartey
85′
🔁 O. Schwartau
↦ Y. Suzuki
A. Diagne 🔁
↦ M. Widell
86′
90′
M. Greve 0–4
M. Divković
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Aalborg

4-2-3-1
1 V. Müller G
20 K. Jørgensen D
2 O. Diakhité D
4 L. Kramer D
3 S. Otoa D
6 M. Jiménez M
16 K. Davidsen M
11 M. Jørgensen M
17 A. Jasson M
8 M. Widell M
10 O. Ross F
Bench (9)
19 J. Iredale
24 N. Arnórsson
9 N. Helenius
21 M. Bomholt
37 A. Diagne
22 R. de Boer
5 M. Nielsen
27 K. John
15 Diego Caballo

Coach: M. van Dam

Brondby

3-4-2-1
1 P. Pentz G
31 S. Klaiber D
32 F. Alves D
4 J. Rasmussen D
2 S. Sebulonsen M
35 N. Nartey M
10 D. Wass M
37 C. Bischoff M
28 Y. Suzuki F
11 F. Bundgaard F
36 M. Kvistgaarden F
Bench (9)
24 M. Divković
8 M. Greve
9 O. Omoijuanfo
22 J. Radošević
41 O. Schwartau
5 R. Lauritsen
16 T. Mikkelsen
99 E. Yeboah
18 K. Tshiembe

Coach: J. Sørensen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Sundberg · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.