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Serie A
Referee: M Marchetti
Verona
S T S U T
3–0
Full-time
Napoli
U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,85 xG 0,96
33% Possession 67%
8 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Feb -24 Napoli – Verona 2–1 21. Oct -23 Verona – Napoli 1–3 15. Apr -23 Napoli – Verona 0–0 15. Aug -22 Verona – Napoli 2–5 13. Mar -22 Verona – Napoli 1–2

Match report

Verona Napoli
Diego Coppola 🟨
20′
R. Belahyane 🔁
↦ S. Serdar
21′
Jackson Tchatchoua 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–0
49′
🔁 G. Raspadori
↦ K. Kvaratskhelia
1–0 Dailon Livramento ⚽
D. Lazović
50′
51′
🔁 M. Olivera
↦ L. Spinazzola
T. Suslov 🔁
↦ G. Kastanos
58′
G. Magnani 🔁
↦ M. Frese
58′
D. Mosquera 🔁
↦ C. Tengstedt
73′
A. Harroui 🔁
↦ Dailon Livramento
74′
2–0 D. Mosquera ⚽
O. Duda
75′
Ondrej Duda 🟨
77′
79′
🔁 C. Ngonge
↦ Juan Jesus
79′
🔁 W. Cheddira
↦ G. Simeone
89′
🟨 Giacomo Raspadori
Reda Belahyane 🟨
91′
3–0 D. Mosquera ⚽
D. Lazović
94′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Verona

3-4-3
1 L. Montipò G
27 P. Dawidowicz D
42 D. Coppola D
3 M. Frese D
38 J. Tchatchoua M
33 O. Duda M
25 S. Serdar M
8 D. Lazović M
20 G. Kastanos F
11 C. Tengstedt F
14 Dailon Livramento F
Bench (15)
6 R. Belahyane
31 T. Suslov
23 G. Magnani
35 D. Mosquera
18 A. Harroui
7 E. Tavşan
34 S. Perilli
22 A. Berardi
15 Y. Okou
80 A. Cissè
82 C. Corradi
10 S. Mitrović
21 Dani Silva
5 D. Faraoni
87 D. Ghilardi

Coach: P. Zanetti

Napoli

3-4-2-1
1 A. Meret G
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
13 Amir Rrahmani D
5 Juan Jesus D
30 P. Mazzocchi M
99 F. Anguissa M
68 S. Lobotka M
37 L. Spinazzola M
21 M. Politano F
77 K. Kvaratskhelia F
18 G. Simeone F
Bench (10)
81 G. Raspadori
17 M. Olivera
26 C. Ngonge
11 W. Cheddira
14 N. Contini
25 E. Caprile
78 G. Iaccarino
74 C. Saco
94 F. Mezzoni
16 Rafa Marín

Coach: A. Conte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,63
🔒
U
3,67
🔒
B
1,79
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,90
🔒
U2,5
1,93
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Marchetti · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.