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Premier League
Referee: R Jones
0–2
Full-time
West Ham
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,3
4,5
Scored
2,7
1,5
Conceded
0,7
3,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,35 xG 1,39
58% Possession 42%
14 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crystal Palace 14. · West Ham 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Brighton 2 2 0 0 +4 +1.6 6
2 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.8 3
3 Man City 1 1 0 0 +2 -0.2 3
4 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 +2 +2.2 3
5 Aston Villa 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.4 3
6 Brentford 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.4 3
7 Newcastle 1 1 0 0 +1 -1.5 3
8 Man United 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.3 3
9 Leicester 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.1 1
10 Tottenham 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.1 1
11 Nott'm Forest 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.1 1
12 Bournemouth 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.1 1
13 West Ham 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.4 0
14 Crystal Palace 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
15 Southampton 1 0 0 1 -1 +1.5 0
16 Fulham 1 0 0 1 -1 -2.0 0
17 Wolves 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.8 0
18 Chelsea 1 0 0 1 -2 +0.2 0
19 Ipswich 1 0 0 1 -2 -2.2 0
20 Everton 1 0 0 1 -3 -1.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crystal Palace West Ham
Half-time 0–0
Jefferson Lerma 🟨
55′
62′
🔁 A. Wan-Bissaka
↦ M. Antonio
63′
🟨 Tomáš Souček
D. Kamada 🔁
↦ J. Lerma
63′
63′
🔁 N. Füllkrug
↦ V. Coufal
67′
T. Souček 0–1
I. Sarr 🔁
↦ O. Édouard
71′
72′
J. Bowen 0–2
M. Kilman
78′
🔁 E. Álvarez
↦ T. Souček
J. Schlupp 🔁
↦ C. Richards
81′
88′
🔁 J. Todibo
↦ M. Kudus
89′
🔁 A. Cresswell
↦ Emerson
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

3-4-2-1
1 D. Henderson G
26 C. Richards D
6 M. Guéhi D
34 C. Riad D
12 D. Muñoz M
20 A. Wharton M
8 J. Lerma M
3 T. Mitchell M
22 O. Édouard F
10 E. Eze F
14 J. Mateta F
Bench (9)
18 D. Kamada
7 I. Sarr
15 J. Schlupp
17 N. Clyne
2 J. Ward
32 S. Johnstone
28 C. Doucouré
4 R. Holding
29 N. Ahamada

Coach: O. Glasner

West Ham

4-1-4-1
23 A. Areola G
5 V. Coufal D
15 K. Mavropanos D
26 M. Kilman D
33 Emerson D
24 G. Rodríguez M
20 J. Bowen M
28 T. Souček M
10 Lucas Paquetá M
14 M. Kudus M
9 M. Antonio F
Bench (9)
29 A. Wan-Bissaka
11 N. Füllkrug
19 E. Álvarez
25 J. Todibo
3 A. Cresswell
18 D. Ings
7 C. Summerville
1 Ł. Fabiański
8 J. Ward-Prowse

Coach: Lopetegui

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,17
U
3,63
B ✓
3,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Jones · 186 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.