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Serie A
Referee: L Marinelli
Juventus
U S U S S
1–1
Full-time
Cagliari
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Cagliari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
0,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,46 xG 1,12
73% Possession 27%
21 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juventus 4. · Cagliari 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Napoli 7 5 1 1 +9 +4.7 16
2 Inter 7 4 2 1 +7 +4.7 14
3 Udinese 7 4 1 2 +0 -3.8 13
4 Juventus 6 3 3 0 +9 +4.4 12
5 Milan 6 3 2 1 +7 +4.7 11
6 Torino 7 3 2 2 +1 -3.3 11
7 Atalanta 7 3 1 3 +3 +6.3 10
8 Empoli 6 2 4 0 +3 -1.8 10
9 Lazio 6 3 1 2 +2 +3.1 10
10 Roma 6 2 3 1 +3 +1.3 9
11 Verona 7 3 0 4 +0 -1.6 9
12 Como 7 2 2 3 -4 -0.9 8
13 Fiorentina 6 1 4 1 +0 +3.3 7
14 Bologna 6 1 4 1 -2 -0.9 7
15 Parma 6 1 2 3 -2 -0.8 5
16 Cagliari 6 1 2 3 -6 +0.1 5
17 Lecce 7 1 2 4 -9 -3.5 5
18 Genoa 7 1 2 4 -10 -6.8 5
19 Venezia 7 1 1 5 -7 -4.6 4
20 Monza 6 0 3 3 -4 -4.6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventus Cagliari
Federico Gatti ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
13′
1–0 D. Vlahović
15′
Khéphren Thuram 🟨
33′
Half-time 1–0
N. Fagioli 🔁
↦ T. Koopmeiners
46′
Nicolò Savona 🟨
56′
57′
🔁 Zito Luvumbo
↦ T. Augello
57′
🔁 G. Gaetano
↦ N. Viola
Douglas Luiz 🔁
↦ K. Thuram
62′
W. McKennie 🔁
↦ M. Locatelli
62′
65′
🔁 R. Marin
↦ A. Makoumbou
Danilo 🔁
↦ N. Savona
70′
Francisco Conceição 🟨
75′
76′
🔁 K. Mutandwa
↦ N. Zortea
K. Yıldız 🔁
↦ S. Mbangula
77′
77′
🔁 A. Deiola
↦ M. Adopo
Andrea Cambiaso 🟨
84′
86′
ℹ️ Roberto Piccoli
VAR: Penalty confirmed
88′
🟨 Yerry Mina
88′
R. Marin 1–1
Francisco Conceição 🟨
89′
Francisco Conceição 🟥
89′
96′
🟨 Alessandro Deiola
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Juventus

4-2-3-1
29 M. Di Gregorio G
37 N. Savona D
4 F. Gatti D
15 P. Kalulu D
27 A. Cambiaso D
19 K. Thuram M
5 M. Locatelli M
7 Francisco Conceição M
8 T. Koopmeiners M
51 S. Mbangula M
9 D. Vlahović F
Bench (9)
21 N. Fagioli
26 Douglas Luiz
16 W. McKennie
6 Danilo
10 K. Yıldız
40 J. Rouhi
1 M. Perin
23 C. Pinsoglio
32 J. Cabal

Coach: T. Motta

Cagliari

4-2-3-1
22 S. Scuffet G
28 G. Zappa D
26 Y. Mina D
6 S. Luperto D
33 A. Obert D
8 M. Adopo M
29 A. Makoumbou M
19 N. Zortea M
10 N. Viola M
3 T. Augello M
91 R. Piccoli F
Bench (11)
77 Zito Luvumbo
70 G. Gaetano
18 R. Marin
80 K. Mutandwa
14 A. Deiola
24 J. Palomino
71 A. Sherri
1 G. Ciocci
16 M. Prati
37 Paulo Azzi
97 M. Felici

Coach: D. Nicola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,38
U ✓
4,82
B
9,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,95
U2,5 ✓
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Marinelli · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.