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Premier League
Referee: D Bond
1–0
Full-time
Tottenham
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
38%
75%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,0
3,4
Scored
0,6
2,3
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,78 xG 0,74
34% Possession 66%
14 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 8
4 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crystal Palace 18. · Tottenham 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Man City 9 7 2 0 +11 +9.5 23
2 Liverpool 8 7 0 1 +12 +10.0 21
3 Aston Villa 9 5 3 1 +5 +4.5 18
4 Arsenal 8 5 2 1 +7 +4.5 17
5 Brighton 9 4 4 1 +4 -1.3 16
6 Nott'm Forest 9 4 4 1 +4 +2.3 16
7 Chelsea 8 4 2 2 +7 +5.8 14
8 Tottenham 8 4 1 3 +9 +8.0 13
9 Brentford 9 4 1 4 +0 +0.3 13
10 Fulham 9 3 3 3 +0 +3.3 12
11 Bournemouth 9 3 3 3 +0 +2.6 12
12 Newcastle 8 3 3 2 +0 +1.0 12
13 Man United 8 3 2 3 -2 +0.0 11
14 Leicester 9 2 3 4 -4 -9.7 9
15 Everton 9 2 3 4 -6 -4.9 9
16 West Ham 8 2 2 4 -4 -1.3 8
17 Ipswich 9 0 4 5 -11 -13.9 4
18 Crystal Palace 8 0 3 5 -6 -3.1 3
19 Wolves 9 0 2 7 -13 -8.0 2
20 Southampton 9 0 1 8 -13 -9.5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crystal Palace Tottenham
W. Hughes 🔁
↦ J. Lerma
22′
1–0 J. Mateta
E. Eze
31′
Jean-Philippe Mateta 🟨
32′
37′
🟨 Dejan Kulusevski
Daniel Muñoz 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
52′
🟨 Brennan Johnson
Maxence Lacroix 🟨
61′
62′
🔁 P. Sarr
↦ D. Kulusevski
62′
🔁 T. Werner
↦ M. Moore
62′
🔁 Richarlison
↦ J. Maddison
65′
🟨 Micky van de Ven
E. Nketiah 🔁
↦ I. Sarr
67′
Will Hughes 🟨
77′
85′
🟨 Richarlison
87′
🔁 R. Bentancur
↦ Y. Bissouma
D. Kamada 🔁
↦ A. Wharton
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

3-4-2-1
1 D. Henderson G
27 T. Chalobah D
5 M. Lacroix D
6 M. Guéhi D
12 D. Muñoz M
20 A. Wharton M
8 J. Lerma M
3 T. Mitchell M
7 I. Sarr F
10 E. Eze F
14 J. Mateta F
Bench (9)
19 W. Hughes
9 E. Nketiah
18 D. Kamada
30 M. Turner
2 J. Ward
58 C. Kporha
17 N. Clyne
15 J. Schlupp
64 A. Agbinone

Coach: O. Glasner

Tottenham

4-3-3
1 G. Vicario G
23 Pedro Porro D
17 C. Romero D
37 M. van de Ven D
13 D. Udogie D
21 D. Kulusevski M
8 Y. Bissouma M
10 J. Maddison M
22 B. Johnson F
19 D. Solanke F
47 M. Moore F
Bench (9)
29 P. Sarr
16 T. Werner
9 Richarlison
30 R. Bentancur
6 R. Drăgușin
15 L. Bergvall
14 A. Gray
33 B. Davies
20 F. Forster

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,97
U
3,97
B
1,85
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,59
U2,5 ✓
2,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Bond · 157 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.