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Serie B
Referee: A Santoro
Catanzaro
U T U U U
3–0
Full-time
Sudtirol
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Sudtirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
11%
44%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
1,9
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Corners 8
13 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Catanzaro 18. · Sudtirol 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 10 6 3 1 +11 21
2 Spezia 10 5 5 0 +7 20
3 Pisa 9 6 2 1 +6 20
4 Cremonese 10 5 2 3 +4 17
5 Palermo 10 4 3 3 +3 15
6 Juve Stabia 10 4 3 3 +0 15
7 Cesena 10 4 2 4 +1 14
8 Brescia 10 4 1 5 -2 13
9 Bari 10 2 6 2 +2 12
10 Sudtirol 9 4 0 5 -1 12
11 Reggiana 10 3 3 4 -1 12
12 Mantova 9 3 3 3 -2 12
13 Sampdoria 9 3 2 4 +1 11
14 Carrarese 10 3 2 5 -2 11
15 Cosenza 10 2 5 3 -2 11
16 Salernitana 10 3 2 5 -3 11
17 Modena 10 2 4 4 -2 10
18 Catanzaro 9 1 6 2 -1 9
19 Cittadella 10 2 3 5 -9 9
20 Frosinone 9 1 3 5 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Catanzaro Sudtirol
1–0 S. Pontisso
F. Bonini
5′
2–0 P. Iemmello
S. Pontisso
24′
M. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ J. Petriccione
30′
3–0 P. Iemmello
41′
44′
🟨 Matteo Rover
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 S. Merkaj
↦ M. Praszelik
Andrea La Mantia 🟨
47′
T. Cassandro 🔁
↦ S. Pontisso
54′
R. Pagano 🔁
↦ M. DAlessandro
55′
64′
🔁 K. Zedadka
↦ D. Casiraghi
64′
🔁 V. Crespi
↦ R. Odogwu
68′
ℹ️ Valerio Crespi
VAR: Penalty cancelled
A. Ceresoli 🔁
↦ M. Šitum
69′
F. Pittarello 🔁
↦ A. La Mantia
69′
76′
🔁 A. Vimercati
↦ S. Davì
81′
🔁 J. Martini
↦ S. Molina
91′
🟨 Andrea Masiello
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Catanzaro

5-3-2
22 M. Pigliacelli G
92 M. Šitum D
23 N. Brighenti D
14 S. Scognamillo D
6 F. Bonini D
70 M. D'Alessandro D
21 M. Pompetti M
10 J. Petriccione M
20 S. Pontisso M
19 A. La Mantia F
9 P. Iemmello F
Bench (12)
80 M. Coulibaly
84 T. Cassandro
24 R. Pagano
27 A. Ceresoli
90 F. Pittarello
17 E. Brignola
1 A. Dini
4 Matias Antonini
8 I. Koutsoupias
28 T. Biasci
45 N. Buso
29 D. Seck

Coach: F. Caserta

Sudtirol

5-4-1
12 G. Drago G
7 M. Rover D
28 R. Kofler D
19 N. Pietrangeli D
5 A. Masiello D
24 S. Davì D
99 M. Praszelik M
4 T. Arrigoni M
79 S. Molina M
17 D. Casiraghi M
90 R. Odogwu F
Bench (10)
33 S. Merkaj
11 K. Zedadka
9 V. Crespi
68 A. Vimercati
6 J. Martini
23 L. Ceppitelli
29 J. Arlanch
14 F. Davi
62 D. Theiner
30 A. Giorgini

Coach: F. Valente

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,32
U
2,79
B
3,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,55
U2,5
1,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Santoro · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.