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Super League
Referee: V Fotias
1–0
Full-time
Olympiakos
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
22%
44%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
22%
56%
Both score Ø 56%
67%
44%
Average goals
1,9
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

26% Possession 74%
9 Shots 23
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 5
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 9. · Olympiakos 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PAOK 9 5 2 2 +7 17
2 Aris Thessalonikis 8 5 2 1 +6 17
3 Aris 8 5 2 1 +6 17
4 AEK 9 4 3 2 +8 15
5 Olympiakos 9 4 3 2 +6 15
6 Panetolikos 9 4 2 3 +3 14
7 OFI Crete 9 4 2 3 +0 14
8 Panathinaikos 8 3 3 2 +1 12
9 Asteras Tripolis 9 2 5 2 +1 11
10 Panserraikos 10 3 1 6 -6 10
11 Volos NFC 9 3 1 5 -7 10
12 Atromitos 9 2 3 4 -3 9
13 Lamia 10 1 4 5 -9 7
14 Levadeiakos 9 0 6 3 -6 6
15 Athens Kallithea 9 0 5 4 -7 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asteras Tripolis Olympiakos
Nikos Kaltsas 🟨
10′
1–0 E. Yablonskiy
Xesc Regis
21′
45′
🟨 Giorgos Masouras
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Willian
↦ G. Masouras
46′
🔁 S. Hezze
↦ M. Stamenić
O. Adefunyibomi 🔁
↦ Xesc Regis
56′
56′
🔁 A. El Kaabi
↦ R. Yaremchuk
70′
🔁 Gelson Martins
↦ C. Kostoulas
70′
🔁 Y. Yazıcı
↦ A. Apostolopoulos
T. Tzandaris 🔁
↦ E. Yablonskiy
72′
F. Álvarez 🔁
↦ N. Kaltsas
72′
Julián Bartolo 🟨
75′
Rubén García 🔁
↦ Miki Muñoz
79′
J. Palacios 🔁
↦ J. Bartolo
79′
Diamantis Chouchoumis 🟨
88′
Federico Álvarez 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
16 P. Tsintotas G
17 N. Alho D
13 K. Triantafyllopoulos D
15 S. Deli D
3 D. Houhoumis D
22 Miki Muñoz M
5 E. Yablonskiy M
20 N. Kaltsas M
7 J. Bartolo M
11 Xesc Regis M
41 F. Macheda F
Bench (9)
69 O. Adefunyibomi
8 T. Tzandaris
29 F. Álvarez
2 Rubén García
10 J. Palacios
1 N. Papadopoulos
21 P. Tzimas
28 D. Bile
9 M. Ádám

Coach: S. Pantelidis

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
20 Costinha D
45 P. Retsos D
16 David Carmo D
65 A. Apostolopoulos D
8 M. Stamenić M
14 Dani García M
23 Rodinei M
84 C. Kostoulas M
19 G. Masouras M
17 R. Yaremchuk F
Bench (9)
18 Willian
32 S. Hezze
9 A. El Kaabi
10 Gelson Martins
97 Y. Yazıcı
1 A. Paschalakis
27 Sérgio Oliveira
22 Chiquinho
4 G. Biancone

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
7,33
U
4,34
B
1,41
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,88
U2,5 ✓
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

V Fotias · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.