Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Parma
Empoli
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Napoli
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +11 | +7.5 | 22 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | +4.7 | 17 |
| 3 |
Atalanta
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +10 | +9.1 | 16 |
| 4 |
Juventus
|
8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +10 | +7.0 | 16 |
| 5 |
Udinese
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | -4.0 | 16 |
| 6 |
Milan
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +7 | +6.7 | 14 |
| 7 |
Torino
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | -3.6 | 14 |
| 8 |
Fiorentina
|
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +7 | +4.2 | 13 |
| 9 |
Lazio
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | +3.3 | 13 |
| 10 |
Roma
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +2 | +1.2 | 10 |
| 11 |
Empoli
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | -4.0 | 10 |
| 12 |
Bologna
|
8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -2 | -0.6 | 9 |
| 13 |
Como
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | -0.0 | 9 |
| 14 |
Cagliari
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -7 | -1.7 | 9 |
| 15 |
Verona
|
9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -8 | -4.2 | 9 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | -4.1 | 7 |
| 17 |
Parma
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | -1.6 | 7 |
| 18 |
Genoa
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -10 | -7.1 | 6 |
| 19 |
Lecce
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -16 | -7.6 | 5 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | -5.2 | 4 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Z. Suzuki
G
E. Delprato
D
B. Balogh
D
E. Valeri
D
Adrián Bernabé
M
D. Man
M
S. Sohm
M
Hernani
M
M. Cancellieri
M
A. Bonny
F
Coach: F. Pecchia
S. Goglichidze
D
A. Ismajli
D
M. Viti
D
A. Grassi
M
E. Gyasi
M
J. Fazzini
M
T. Anjorin
M
G. Pezzella
M
L. Colombo
F
O. Solbakken
F
Coach: R. D'Aversa
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Como
Parma
Bologna
Parma
Parma
Cagliari
Lecce
Parma
Parma
Udinese
F La Penna · 93 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.