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Serie A
Referee: F La Penna
Parma
T U T U U
1–1
Full-time
Empoli
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,5
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
13%
25%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
63%
25%
Both score Ø 63%
88%
38%
Average goals
3,0
1,4
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,74 xG 0,13
60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Parma 17. · Empoli 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Napoli 9 7 1 1 +11 +7.5 22
2 Inter 8 5 2 1 +8 +4.7 17
3 Atalanta 9 5 1 3 +10 +9.1 16
4 Juventus 8 4 4 0 +10 +7.0 16
5 Udinese 9 5 1 3 +1 -4.0 16
6 Milan 8 4 2 2 +7 +6.7 14
7 Torino 9 4 2 3 +1 -3.6 14
8 Fiorentina 8 3 4 1 +7 +4.2 13
9 Lazio 8 4 1 3 +2 +3.3 13
10 Roma 8 2 4 2 +2 +1.2 10
11 Empoli 8 2 4 2 +1 -4.0 10
12 Bologna 8 1 6 1 -2 -0.6 9
13 Como 9 2 3 4 -5 -0.0 9
14 Cagliari 9 2 3 4 -7 -1.7 9
15 Verona 9 3 0 6 -8 -4.2 9
16 Monza 8 1 4 3 -1 -4.1 7
17 Parma 8 1 4 3 -2 -1.6 7
18 Genoa 8 1 3 4 -10 -7.1 6
19 Lecce 9 1 2 6 -16 -7.6 5
20 Venezia 8 1 1 6 -9 -5.2 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Parma Empoli
Enrico Del Prato 🟨
16′
20′
🟨 Faustino Anjorin
35′
W. Coulibaly 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
G. Charpentier 🔁
↦ D. Man
46′
Hernani 🟨
50′
P. Almqvist 🔁
↦ M. Cancellieri
55′
M. Keita 🔁
↦ Hernani
55′
67′
🟨 Ardian Ismajli
68′
🔁 L. Henderson
↦ T. Anjorin
69′
🔁 P. Pellegri
↦ L. Colombo
70′
🟨 Alberto Grassi
80′
🔁 N. Haas
↦ J. Fazzini
80′
🔁 Y. Maleh
↦ A. Grassi
2–0 G. Charpentier
E. Valeri
80′
82′
🟨 Devis Vásquez
Ange-Yoan Bonny
penalty missed
83′
D. Camara 🔁
↦ A. Bonny
84′
V. Mihăilă 🔁
↦ Adrián Bernabé
84′
87′
🔁 E. Ekong
↦ O. Solbakken
Botond Balogh 🟨
91′
91′
🟨 Pietro Pellegri
Simon Sohm 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Parma

4-1-4-1
31 Z. Suzuki G
26 W. Coulibaly D
15 E. Delprato D
4 B. Balogh D
14 E. Valeri D
10 Adrián Bernabé M
98 D. Man M
19 S. Sohm M
27 Hernani M
22 M. Cancellieri M
13 A. Bonny F
Bench (14)
9 G. Charpentier
11 P. Almqvist
16 M. Keita
23 D. Camara
28 V. Mihăilă
46 G. Leoni
77 G. Di Chiara
7 A. Benedyczak
61 A. Haj Mohamed
1 L. Chichizola
8 N. Estévez
20 A. Hainaut
40 E. Corvi
5 L. Valenti

Coach: F. Pecchia

Empoli

3-1-4-2
23 D. Vásquez G
2 S. Goglichidze D
34 A. Ismajli D
21 M. Viti D
5 A. Grassi M
11 E. Gyasi M
10 J. Fazzini M
8 T. Anjorin M
3 G. Pezzella M
29 L. Colombo F
17 O. Solbakken F
Bench (14)
6 L. Henderson
9 P. Pellegri
32 N. Haas
93 Y. Maleh
19 E. Ekong
12 J. Seghetti
31 L. Tosto
98 F. Brancolini
13 L. Cacace
7 J. Sambia
35 L. Marianucci
90 I. Konate
16 L. Belardinelli
22 M. De Sciglio

Coach: R. D'Aversa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,19
U ✓
3,42
B
3,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F La Penna · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.