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Ligue 1
Referee: C Turpin
Nantes
S S T T T
2–3
Full-time
St Etienne
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
0%
17%
Both score Ø 9%
0%
17%
Average goals
1,2
1,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 46%
50%
42%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
25%
42%
Both score Ø 34%
25%
42%
Average goals
1,5
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

60% Possession 40%
9 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nantes 7. · St Etienne 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 13 10 0 3 +20 30
2 Angers 13 6 3 4 +1 21
3 Lille 13 5 4 4 +5 19
4 Montpellier 13 5 4 4 +4 19
5 Bordeaux 13 5 4 4 +3 19
6 Reims 13 5 4 4 +3 19
7 Nantes 12 6 1 5 +0 19
8 Marseille 12 5 4 3 -2 19
9 Rennes 12 5 3 4 +3 18
10 Monaco 13 5 3 5 -2 18
11 St Etienne 12 5 3 4 -3 18
12 Brest 13 4 5 4 -2 17
13 Nice 13 5 2 6 -3 17
14 Lyon 12 4 4 4 +8 16
15 Amiens 13 4 4 5 -3 16
16 Strasbourg 13 4 3 6 -3 15
17 Metz 13 3 4 6 -7 13
18 Dijon 13 3 3 7 -7 12
19 Toulouse 13 3 3 7 -10 12
20 Nimes 12 2 5 5 -5 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nantes St Etienne
1–0 L. Blas ⚽
C. Benavente
14′
22′
⚽ M. Trauco 1–1
F. Honorat
2–1 I. Louza ⚽
L. Blas
26′
34′
⚽ D. Bouanga 2–2
M. Trauco
Andrei Girotto 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–2
57′
🔁 W. Khazri
↦ R. Hamouma
67′
⚽ D. Bouanga 2–3
R. Boudebouz
68′
🔁 A. Nordin
↦ R. Boudebouz
K. Bamba 🔁
↦ C. Benavente
70′
S. Moutoussamy 🔁
↦ C. Traoré
79′
81′
🔁 A. Dioussé
↦ D. Bouanga
E. Youan 🔁
↦ L. Blas
86′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Nantes

4-2-3-1
1 A. Lafont G
4 N. Pallois D
14 C. Traoré D
23 T. Basila D
20 Andrei Girotto D
10 C. Benavente M
19 A. Touré M
17 L. Blas M
26 I. Louza M
7 K. Coulibaly F
27 M. Simon M
Bench (7)
32 K. Bamba
18 S. Moutoussamy
24 E. Youan
21 R. Krhin
16 A. Olliero
11 M. Abeid
33 P. Prado

Coach: C. Gourcuff

St Etienne

3-4-2-1
16 S. Ruffier G
26 M. Debuchy D
5 T. Kolodziejczak D
13 M. Trauco M
2 H. Moukoudi D
7 R. Boudebouz F
21 R. Hamouma F
20 D. Bouanga F
8 M. Camara M
28 Z. Youssouf M
14 F. Honorat M
Bench (7)
10 W. Khazri
18 A. Nordin
25 A. Dioussé
27 R. Berič
11 Gabriel Silva
24 L. Perrin
30 J. Moulin

Coach: C. Puel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,12
U
3,16
B ✓
3,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,43
U2,5
1,56
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.