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Ligue 1
Referee: E Wattellier
Strasbourg
T U U U T
1–3
Full-time
Rennes
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
1,7
3,3
Scored
0,7
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
0%
38%
Points per game
0,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
1,9
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%
9 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Strasbourg 18. · Rennes 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Marseille 9 7 2 0 +14 23
2 Paris SG 8 7 1 0 +22 22
3 Lorient 8 6 1 1 +5 19
4 Lens 8 5 3 0 +9 18
5 Monaco 8 4 2 2 +1 14
6 Lyon 8 4 1 3 +6 13
7 Lille 8 4 1 3 +0 13
8 Rennes 8 3 3 2 +6 12
9 Montpellier 8 4 0 4 +4 12
10 Troyes 8 3 1 4 -2 10
11 Clermont 8 3 1 4 -4 10
12 Toulouse 8 2 2 4 -4 8
13 Nice 8 2 2 4 -4 8
14 Angers 9 2 2 5 -12 8
15 Nantes 8 1 4 3 -3 7
16 Auxerre 8 2 1 5 -11 7
17 Reims 8 1 3 4 -7 6
18 Strasbourg 8 0 5 3 -3 5
19 Brest 8 1 2 5 -10 5
20 Ajaccio 8 1 1 6 -7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Strasbourg Rennes
Kévin Gameiro ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
20′
Gerzino Nyamsi 🟥
28′
38′
A. Kalimuendo 0–1
A. Truffert
Half-time 0–1
H. Diarra 🔁
↦ I. Sissoko
46′
49′
M. Terrier 0–2
61′
A. Gouiri 0–3
A. Kalimuendo
K. Fila 🔁
↦ C. Dagba
62′
62′
🔁 L. Majer
↦ A. Kalimuendo
L. Perrin 🔁
↦ S. Prcić
63′
T. Delaine 🔁
↦ D. Liénard
64′
71′
🟨 Hamari Traore
1–3 H. Diallo
72′
73′
🔁 B. Meling
↦ A. Truffert
73′
🔁 J. Doku
↦ B. Bourigeaud
N. Kandil 🔁
↦ K. Gameiro
76′
82′
🔁 M. Abline
↦ A. Gouiri
82′
🔁 L. Assignon
↦ M. Terrier
90′
🟨 Lovro Majer
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Strasbourg

3-5-2
1 M. Sels G
24 A. Djiku D
22 G. Nyamsi D
23 M. Le Marchand D
2 C. Dagba M
27 I. Sissoko M
14 S. Prcić M
17 J. Bellegarde M
11 D. Liénard M
9 K. Gameiro F
20 H. Diallo F
Bench (9)
19 H. Diarra
4 K. Fila
5 L. Perrin
3 T. Delaine
34 N. Kandil
40 R. Risser
29 I. Doukouré
38 D. Jean
6 J. Aholou

Coach: J. Stéphan

Rennes

4-4-2
30 S. Mandanda G
27 H. Traoré D
2 J. Rodon D
5 A. Theate D
3 A. Truffert D
14 B. Bourigeaud M
6 L. Ugochukwu M
20 F. Tait M
7 M. Terrier M
19 A. Gouiri F
9 A. Kalimuendo F
Bench (9)
21 L. Majer
25 B. Meling
11 J. Doku
28 M. Abline
22 L. Assignon
18 J. Belocian
15 C. Wooh
1 D. Alemdar
31 G. Doué

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,99
U
3,50
B ✓
2,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,93
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.